Each day of the season our top expert handicapping services offer their free bets on tonight’s games. They also include insights and analysis to help explain why they recommend the point spread bets that they do. If you want to beat the gambling lines and cash more of your wagers this year, then I recommend following the hot takes and wagering advice of the tipsters below.
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Best Pro Bets on Who Will Win Tonight’s NBA Games
1* Free Play on Kings -4 -110
Jack’s Free Pick Tuesday: New York Knicks -3.5
The New York Knicks have been grossly underrated when playing at home this season. They are 12-5 SU & 12-5 ATS at Madison Square Garden in 2017, outscoring opponents by 6.6 points per game on average. I think there is value with them as only 3.5-point home favorites over the Los Angeles Lakers tonight.
The Lakers are getting a lot of love after back-to-back road wins over Philadelphia and Charlotte. But this team is still just 4-8 SU & 5-7 ATS on the road this season, getting outscored by 5.0 points per game on average. Plays against any team (LA Lakers) - off two more more consecutive road wins, in December games are 71-33 (68.3%) ATS over the last five seasons.
Now the Lakers are in a tough spot here as this is their 3rd straight road game. And who do they have on deck? A road game against the Cleveland Cavaliers Thursday night, followed by a home game against Golden State. Don’t be surprised if the Lakers are overlooking the Knicks here tonight and looking ahead to those two huge showdowns with the Cavs and Warriors.
New York is 7-0 ATS in home games after having won two of their last three games this season. The Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs. Western Conference opponents. The Lakers are 17-36-1 ATS in their last 54 games following a straight up in by more than 10 points. Bet the Knicks Tuesday.
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10* FREE NBA PICK (Kings -4.5)
The Kings aren't a team that I will be looking to lay points with often this season, but I think it's worth a shot here to back Sacramento at home against the Suns. As far as records are concerned these are two equally bad teams, as Phoenix comes in at 9-19 and the Kings are 8-18. The big key here is that the Suns are without their best player in Devin Booker. However, they were at least competitive in their first two games without Booker, losing to the Wizards by just 10 and by a mere 3-points last time out against the Spurs. I think that has people a lot higher on this team than they should be. Keep in mind both of those games were at home, where the role players are going to help out a lot more. I think we see Phoenix really struggle here on the road without Bookie. Kings aren't a great team, there's no getting around that, but they are much better at home and I think we get a big effort here off an ugly 25-point home loss last time out to the Raptors. Give me Sacramento -4.5!
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The Pistons don't just need a win, but a blowout victory. I see them achieving that in this home matchup against the Nuggets. Detroit is in full stop-the-pain mode having lost six in a row. This begs the question are the Pistons good enough to lay this amount of points? They were 12-8 before their losing streak, including being 8-2 SU, 6-3-1 ATS at Little Caesars Arena, their new home. Now let's examine their losing skid. Detroit didn't play well in a 109-91 road loss to the Wizards, which began their losing skid. The Pistons then had three more away contests. All were against respectable-to-good teams at tough road venues - Philadelphia, San Antonio and Milwaukee. The Pistons lost those three games by an average of four points per game. Then the Pistons opened their homestand drawing the Warriors and Celtics, two of the three best teams in the NBA. The Pistons trailed the Celtics by four points with under three minutes remaining before losing, 91-81. That's the third-fewest points the Celtics have scored this season. The Pistons finally get a schedule break with this game and opponent. Denver is one of those good home/bad road teams. The Nuggets are 4-10 SU, 3-11 ATS away from Pepsi Center. Denver has a high fatigue rating, too, playing its fifth road contest in nine days and coming off an overtime game against the Pacers on Sunday. Denver is vulnerable to Andre Drummond, the NBA rebounding leader, missing their two best players, big men Nikola Jokic and Paul Millsap. Both are out with injuries. This puts a lot of pressure on the Nuggets guards, who are erratic. Starting guard Jamal Murray is dealing with a calf injury, too. Avery Bradley has been in a shooting slump, but he's one of the better defensive guards in the NBA. So I don't see the Nuggets making up for their key frontcourt injuries by getting exceptional scoring from their guards. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is one of the top NBA 'cappers in North America with a long-term record of 76-49-5 on his last 130 NBA premium/free plays.)
Free Pick on Nuggets +
I like the value here with Denver as a decently priced road dog against the Pistons on Tuesday. Detroit is not playing well right now. The Pistons come in having lost 6 straight games, yet they are being overvalued here by the books because the Nuggets are without two of their best players in Nikola Jokic and Paul Millsap. Those are two big losses, but Denver's got some other nice pieces in place and I look for them to give the Pistons a scare here and maybe even win this game outright.
Detroit is really struggling with their shot right now. They shot a mere 33.3% at home in their last game against the Celtics and have gone 6 straight games where they have shot 44% or worse from the floor. When the shots aren't falling that really makes it hard to blow teams out and I think we see those struggles keep them from covering here.
Last time out the Nuggets fell 116-126 at Indiana, but that actually is a positive for backing them here, as they are 22-10 ATS in their last 32 off a road loss. They are also 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games when they come in having failed to cover 3 of their last 4 games. Take Denver!
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1* Free Play on Lakers/Knicks over 212 -110
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Sacramento Kings -4
The Phoenix Suns lost one of their two best players when they traded away Eric Bledsoe. Now they are without their other best player in Devin Booker due to a groin injury. Booker is their leading scorer at 24.3 points per game and is irreplaceable. It’s no surprise that they have lost three straight coming in without him. I think we are getting a discount with the Kings as only 4-point home favorites tonight. The Kings are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games overall. The Suns are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games when playing on 2 days rest. The Kings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games off a loss. Sacramento is 4-0 ATS in its last four vs. Western Conference. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last five trips to Sacramento. Phoenix is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games vs. a team with a losing record. Give me the Kings.
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Pro Basketball Score Projections & Hot Computer Betting TipsA lot of people have been turning to computers and the score predictions their models shoot out. While those can be helpful, it still takes a professional's ability to factor in the intangibles like injuries, rotations, and the schedule. A computer doesn't know the motiviations of the players taking the court, but a lot of times a tipster will be able to figure those out.
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