Ben Burns has been WHITE HOT since Day 1 of the baseball season and he's currently making picking winners look like shooting fish in a barrell. Now a SENSATIONAL 17-3 on the week, he's GOING BIG on Sunday. Expect nothing less than a PERFECT 3-0 SWEEP!
While we won with the Giants yesterday, I feel that today's matchup favors the visitors. Even with yesterday's loss, the Brewers are still a healthy 16-9 in day games. Anderson has a stellar 2.63 ERA on the road and he's had success against SF the past couple of seasons. In three starts, since 2017, vs. the Giants, he's allowed just three combined runs, through 18 2/3 innings. His teams won those games by scores of 5-2, 3-1 and 4-2. Samardzija hasn't had that type of success against Milwaukee. Not even close. In fact, his teams are 1-9 his last 10 starts vs. the Brewers. Consider Milwaukee.
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Philadelphia Phillies +152
It’s hard to believe the Atlanta Braves are this big of home favorites today against the Philadelphia Phillies. This line should be closer to even money, and I think we are getting great value on the Phillies today considering their edge on the mound.
Vincent Velasquez is 1-2 with a 3.99 ERA and 30 K’s in 29 1/3 innings across six starts this season for the Phillies. He may be on a pitch count today because he’s returning from injury, but the Phillies have a quality bullpen.
This play is more about a bet against Mike Foltynewicz than anything. He had an injury in spring training and just hasn’t been the same since returning to the majors. Foltynewicz is 1-5 with a 6.02 ERA in nine starts this season, including 0-3 with a 7.18 ERA in six home starts.
The Phillies are 5-0 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Philadelphia is 26-8 in its last 34 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Braves are 2-9 in Foltynewicz’s last 11 starts, including 1-6 in his last seven home starts. Bet the Phillies Sunday.
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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Washington Nationals -133
Anibal Sanchez has been dynamite recently for the Nationals. He is 2-0 with a 1.04 ERA and 0.69 WHIP in his last three starts. Sanchez is 4-1 with a 3.86 ERA in nine previous starts against the Diamondbacks, and his teams have gone 7-2 in those starts. Archie Bradley will be making his first start of the season for Arizona here. Bradley is 0-1 with a 14.14 ERA and 3.43 WHIP in two previous starts against the Nationals. Washington is 4-0 in Sanchez’s last four starts. Give me the Nationals.
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1* Free Sharp Play on Mariners +126
My money is on the Mariners to cash in an easy win here as a road dog at the A's. Mariners will have the red-hot Mike Leake on the mound, who has a 2.35 ERA and 0.826 WHIP over his last 3 starts. A really impressive stretch given the last two were at Minnesota and at home against the Astros. Oakland on the other hand is sending out a guy who has one big league start on his resume. Bet the Mariners +126!
1* Free MLB Pick on San Francisco Giants +132
We cashed in a winner on the Giants Saturday and will jump right back on San Francisco as a decently priced home dog on Sunday. Giants have won 4 straight and can sweep the 3-game series with a win here.
The offense has really come alive for SF. They have put up 23 runs on 42 hits during their win streak. No reason to think they can't stay hot against the Brewers Chase Anderson, who has a 4.80 ERA and 1.267 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Anderson also owns a sub-par 4.71 ERA in 7 career starts against the Giants.
San Francisco will counter with Jeff Samardzija, who has simply been a different pitcher at home than on the road. Samardzija has a mediocre 3.72 ERA in 13 starts overall this season, but has a 2.53 ERA and 1.156 WHIP in 6 home starts. I like his chances of keeping Milwaukee's bats in check. Take San Francisco!
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10* FREE MLB PICK (Rockies -147)
I'll take my chances here with Colorado at home on Sunday. I think it's safe to say the Rockies are seeing the ball well right now. Colorado put up 14 runs on 19 hits Saturday. It was the 4th time in their last 5 games they scored 9 or more runs. Just over their last 7 games they are averaging 7.6 runs/game and hitting a ridiculous .324 as a team. That offense will be up against the Padres Nick Margevicius, who has a 8.43 ERA and 1.781 WHIP in his last 3 starts and is 2-6 with a 5.02 ERA in 11 starts overall. Give me the Rockies -147!
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Dave’s Sunday Free Play:
1* on New York Yankees -1.5 (-130)
The Key: The New York Yankees have dropped 2 of the first 3 games of this series to the White Sox. They want to at least salvage a split here with a Game 4 win. And with their advantage on the rubber, they should win this thing by at least 2 runs. James Paxton is 3-3 with a 4.04 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 10 starts for the Yankees this year. Paxton is 1-0 with a 3.12 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against the White Sox. Odrisamer Despaigne is no more than a fill in starter for the White Sox. This will be just his 2nd start of the season. Take New York on the Run Line.
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