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Jack Jones

Game Details
Oct 18 '18, 8:05 PM in 9h
MLB | Red Sox vs Astros
Play on: Astros -1½ +115 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Houston Astros -1.5 (+115) 

The Houston Astros have their backs against the wall tonight.  They are down 3-1 in this series to the Red Sox and in a must-win situation.  And there’s nobody they’d rather have on the mound than ace Justin Verlander for this huge spot.  I expect the Astros to win by two runs or more and cover this run line. 

Verlander is 18-9 with a 2.56 ERA and 0.901 WHIP in 36 starts this season.  Verlander has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 10 starts against the Red Sox.  He is 4-2 with a 1.83 ERA while allowing just 13 earned runs in 64 innings in those 10 starts. 

David Price is one of the worst postseason starters in history.  He is winless in 11 career postseason starts, going 0-9 with a 6.16 ERA in those 11 starts.  He is 0-1 with a 9.95 ERA in two starts this postseason while allowing 7 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings to the Astros and Yankees.  He was warming up in the bullpen last night, so that could throw him off as well. 

The Astros are 7-0 in Verlander’s last seven starts and should win this game by two runs or more with him shutting down the Red Sox, and the Astros getting after Price early and often.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Thursday. 

Pick Released on Oct 18 at 10:23 am

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