Dave’s Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Penn State -5.5
The Key: Indiana is off a tough home loss to Maryland on Sunday in which they blew a 6-point lead in the final minute. The Terrapins closed the game on a 7-0 run to win by a single point. The Hoosiers have just 2 days to recover from that loss and get ready for Penn State tonight. They face a Nittany Lions team that is coming off a 14-point home win over Ohio State and a 9-point road win at Michigan. Penn State is 10-1 at home this year while Indiana is just 1-3 in true road games with its only win at Nebraska, the worst team in the Big Ten. The 3 losses came at Wisconsin by 20, at Maryland by 16 and at Rutgers by 9. The Nittany Lions are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 home games. Take Penn State.
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10* FREE NCAAB PICK (UMass -6)
I'll take my chances here with the Minutemen as a 6-point home favorite against St. Joseph's. UMass snapped a 4-game skid with arguably their best performance of the entire season, as they took down Duquesne 73-64 as a 5.5-point home dog. I think this is the perfect time to jump on the Minutemen bandwagon at home against a Hawks team that is winless in A-10 play at 0-7 and just 4-16 overall.
For me it's even more about how bad St. Joseph's has been on the road. Hawks are 2-9 away from home, where they are giving up a staggering 83.5 ppg on 47% shooting. UMass is just 8-12 overall, but are a very respectable 7-3 at home and are scoring 76.5 ppg at Hagan Arena.
It's also important to note that UMass made a big change prior to their great showing against the Dukes, as head coach Matt McCall inserted freshmen Preston Santos and Kolton Mitchell into the starting lineup for the first time this season.
One last key factor here is the Minutemen are one of the better teams in the country in limiting opponents 3-point attempts (22nd nationally) and that's huge against a St. Joe's team that relies so much on the 3-point shot. Give me UMass -6!
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1* Free Play on Iowa State +5 -110
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1* NCAAB - Free Pick on UCF Knights +2½
The Knights are definitely worth a look here as a home dog against the Tigers. This Memphis team came into the season with a ton of hype, but have not lived up to expectations, in large part due to Joe Wiseman leaving the team.
Either way it has the Tigers overvalued. Memphis is just 2-5 ATS last 7 games and I'm not convinced they should be favored on the road against UCF. Especially coming off a crushing 74-70 home loss to SMU, where they let the Mustangs end the game on a 15-0 run to steal a victory.
There's a lot of reasons to not trust Memphis on the road. They are 9th in the AAC in offensive efficiency and last in both turnover percentage and free throw percentage. They also struggle to defend the 3-pointer and UCF is the 4th best 3-point shooting team in the conference.
Tigers are just 1-5 ATS last 6 games vs a team with a winning record, while UCF has covered 18 of 25 vs a team with a winning record and are 7-2 ATS last 9 as a dog. Take UCF!
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1* Free Sharp Play on Southern Illinois +4 -108
My money is on the Salukis to cash in a win and cover as a 4-point home dog in Wednesday's college hoops action. Southern Illinois comes in playing extremely well, as they are riding a 3-game winning streak. More importantly the Salukis are 10-1 at home this season. Loyola is a good team, but are playing their second straight on the road on just two days of rest. BET SOUTHERN ILLINOIS +4!
Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: Colorado State -4
The Colorado State Rams had won five straight prior to losing at Utah State last time out. The Aggies are one of the best teams in the Mountain West. Look for the Rams to get back in the win column at home against Nevada tonight.
Colorado State wants revenge from a 61-67 loss at Nevada on January 1st in their first meeting this season. The Rams are 8-3 at home this season and the home team has won seven of the last nine meetings in this series.
Nevada is just 1-5 in true road games this season. Their only road win came at Air Force, and they even lost at lowly San Jose State. The Wolf Pack’s five road losses have come by an average of 15.6 points per game this season.
The favorite is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. The Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. Nevada is 1-4 ATS as a dog of 9.5 points or less this season. Colorado State is 6-1 ATS as a favorite of 9.5 points or less this year. Bet Colorado State Wednesday.
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College Basketball Free Tips & NCAA Hoops Best Bets
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