Jimmy Boyd
1* Free Pick on Raiders +7
The Chargers opened as double-digit home favorites against Arizona last week and lost 26-14.
Now the market is asking them to win by more than a touchdown against a better opponent.
That's a price I'll take.
Both teams have played 1 game this season, so this is about the matchup and the number, not streaks.
And the Week 1 tape favors Vegas.
The Raiders posted 5 sacks against Miami, tied for the NFL lead, with Kwity Paye getting 2 and Maxx Crosby adding 1.5.
Justin Herbert was sacked 3 times by Arizona and threw a pick.
That pass rush against that protection is the core of this play.
Herbert's weapons are thinning out too.
Ladd McConkey is questionable with a rib injury, and KeAndre Lambert-Smith landed on injured reserve.
If McConkey sits or plays limited, this offense runs through Quentin Johnston, who caught 2 of 6 targets last week.
On the other side, Ashton Jeanty went 23 for 102 on the ground and added 6 catches for 45 yards and 2 touchdowns.
He controls tempo and keeps this game short.
The fair knock on Vegas is Kirk Cousins.
Two interceptions and 160 passing yards in Week 1 is real, and he'll give one away here too.
But I don't need Cousins to win the game.
I need Jeanty and that front seven to keep it inside a touchdown, and the Raiders held Miami to 13 points and 259 total yards doing exactly that.
Getting the full 7 covers the most common margin in football.
That's line value.
I like the Raiders
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