Matt Fargo’s NBA Handicapping Picks & ATS Predictions

This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Sacramento has lost four straight games following a five-game winning streak as it now sits five games out of the final playoff spot in the Western Conference for eighth place. Entering play on Wednesday, the Kings sat two games behind Golden State for 10th place in the conference and the play-in tournament will pit the teams placed from Nos. 7-to-10 into a two-game format to determine the final two seeds from each conference in the postseason. Detroit lost at Denver last time out and now it is 6-21 on the road. The Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. While the Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a ATS loss. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (574) Sacramento Kings

This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Toronto heads home, well to their spring training facility in Florida, following a six-game roadtrip where it went 3-3 including a pair of losses in the last to games against the Rangers. Pitching has been solid for the most part with the exception of one game and for the season, the Blue Jays have a 3.12 ERA which is seventh best in baseball. This includes a 1.96 ERA out of the bullpen which is third best in the league. Los Angeles is off to a 4-2 start on its season opening homestand but now hits the road for the first time. The Angels went 10-19 away from home in 2020 and Los Angeles hit .248 as a team. Going back, the Angels are 7-26 in their last 33 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 while the Blue Jays are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. 10* (916) Toronto Blue Jays

Pittsburgh has lost two straight games following a five-game winning streak and the Penguins are now four points out of first place in the NHL East Division. They have allowed 15 goals over those two games but the Penguins are 4-1 in their last five games following a loss of 3 or more goals. New York has won three of its last four games which includes an 8-4 over Pittsburgh on Tuesday. The Rangers are 3-7 in their last 10 games after scoring five goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams against the money line off two consecutive losses against division rivals, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 33-8 (80.5 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (17) Pittsburgh Penguins

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This is a play on the WASHINGTON CAPITALS for our NHL East Game of the Month. Washington went 2-3 on its recent roadtrip including a 1-0 loss to the Islanders on Tuesday. The Capitals are now tied with New York for first place in the NHL East Division with 54 points and they return home where they are 13-4-2 on the season. Washington averages 3.42 gpg at home and the Capitals are 15-2 in their last 17 games as a favorite. Boston is coming off a 4-2 win at Philadelphia following a 4-1-2 homestand and the Bruins remain in fourth place in the East Division with 46 points. Offense has been an issue on the road as Boston is averaging just 2.39 gpg on away ice which is eighth lowest in the league. The Bruins are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win. Here, we play on home favorites against the money line averaging three or more gpg on the season, after a low scoring game where both teams scored one goal or less. This situation is 28-5 (84.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (20) Washington Capitals