Matt Fargo’s NBA Handicapping Picks & ATS Predictions

This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our Saturday Free Play. The Yankees dropped the opener of this series 6-5 on Friday as Luke Weaver gave up a two-run shot to Jeff McNeil in the seventh inning. New York has nor dropped five straight games to fall two games behind Toronto in the American League East as the pitching has been horrible during this stretch, allowing 8.4 rpg and while they send their best starter to the hill, it is not a good matchup with the Mets bats starting to finally show some life. Carlos Rodon is having a solid season with a 2.95 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over 18 starts with very similar home and road splits. He comes in as an overpriced favorite on the road where the Yankees have dropped three straight and four of his last five. The Mets have won three straight after losing 13 of their previous 16 games and they turn to Frankie Montas who is making just his third start. His first outing was solid as he allowed no runs over five innings against the Braves and was lit up in his last start against the Pirates but that one was on the road and we love the rebound possibility back home. Play (916) New York Mets

+$26,580 MLB run. 14-6 MLB Underdog Run. It was a PERFECT 2-0 Underdog SWEEP in MLB with the winners on the +160 Orioles and +159 Astros and we roll it into Saturday. THREE MLB Winners for Saturday as we go for the PERFECT 3-0 SWEEP!

This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. We will continue to fade Atlanta as the markets refuse to catch up. The Friday loss dropped the Braves to nine games under .500 and their -2,138 money is ahead of only Colorado and Saturday, they will be going with an opener. Aaron Bummer has appeared in 28 games this season and has a 2.86 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. This will mark his first career major league start and he will be out there for no more than two innings while no bulk reliever has been announced so this looks to be a true bullpen game. The Orioles improved to 2-2 on this roadtrip and fading them this season has been a lucrative option but they are getting the value again. Dean Kreamer is coming off one of his best starts this season as he allowed three hits in seven scoreless innings against the Rays on Sunday. He has a 4.27 ERA this season with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings and while he has had his share of road struggles, this is an offense that cannot take advantage. Kreamer looks to make it 15 straight starts of going five or more innings. 10* (917) Baltimore Orioles

This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. Things cannot get any worse for Cleveland right now as it has lost eight straight games following a 2-1 loss on Friday to open this series. The Guardians offense has been nonexistent during this stretch as they have averaged 1.6 rpg over the eight games while getting shutout four times. The offense has been an issue all season but this is by far the worst rut they have been in yet have a better than expected matchup tonight. Logan Allen has allowed three runs or less in four straight starts and while his home and road splits are very similar, he has much better command at home and his ERA comes down to 3.67 in six starts when removing one bad outing against the Red Sox where he allowed seven runs. Detroit continues to possess the best record in the American League at 55-34 with most of the damage being done at home where they are 16 games over .500 compared to five games over .500 on the road. Casey Mize has been excellent but his 2.00 ERA at home jumps to 3.59 on the road. 10* (912) Cleveland Guardians

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. Cincinnati took the series opener on Friday in a 9-6 win and the Reds have now won two straight games to move to four games over .500 and they are just one game out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. They have been relevant on the road, sitting just one game under .500 and catching a significant number today. Nick Lodolo has had two poor starts this season where he allowed six runs against the Guardians and Nationals and his season ERA of 3.52 drops to 2.62 in his other 15 starts. He is a rare pitcher with reverse splits as he has a 4.69 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in nine home starts but a 2.31 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in eight road outings. Since an 8-1 run in mid-June, the Phillies are 5-7 over their last 12 games and their lead in the National League East is down to just a half-game over the Mets. They go with one of the big three in Game Two as Ranger Suarez brings in a 2.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 11 starts and this is after allowing seven runs in his opener so we go contrarian here based on his recent run. 10* (903) Cincinnati Reds