Jimmy Boyd’s NBA Picks Against the Spread

3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Senators +145

The Senators are worth a look as a decently priced road dog against the Canadiens on Wednesday. This is just too good a price to pass up with Ottawa right now. Senators have won 2 of 3 and have scored 13 goals in their last 3 games. 

Montreal is also playing well with 3 wins in their last 4 games, but are still just 3-9 in their last 12 and have a losing record at home. Another big thing is the Canadiens just played last night in Pittsburgh and are just 2-7 in their last 9 at hoe when playing on back-to-back days. Take Ottawa! 

4* NBA - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Warriors -4½ -110

Easy play here on the Warriors laying a short number at home against the Knicks. The fact that the Warriors are just 5-20 overall and just lost at home as a favorite to a bad Memphis team, is a big part of the value we are getting here. 

The thing is the Warriors are still playing to win and this Knicks team is one they can have their way with, especially at home. New York is 1-10 on the road this season and are getting outscored on the road by 15.1 ppg. Not to mention the Knicks are in a tough scheduling spot playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back on the road after last night's game in Portland. Take Golden State! 

3* NBA - Big Money ATS CASH COW on Bulls -4½ -110

I like the value here with the Bulls laying a short number at home against the Hawks. Chicago has went from a team a lot of people were really high on to start the year to a team no one really wants anything to do with, especially as a favorite. 

Those that have taken advantage of the poor perception on the Bulls have been rewarded with some nice profits here of late. Chicago has covered 5 of their last 6 and now are laying a small number against a bad Hawks team that is just 3-10 on the road, where they are getting outscored by 13.3 ppg. Take Chicago! 

3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Massachusetts +4½ -110

I like the value here with UMass as a small home dog against the Bulldogs. This is the perfect time to buy low on the Minutemen after losing 5 straight and getting drubbed in their last game at Harvard 89-55. It' also the perfect time to sell high on Yale, who has won 5 straight and covered 8 in a row. 

It's not like UMass has been losing to a bunch of bad teams. They were a dog in all 5 losses and 4 of those were away from home. We should get a max effort here from the Minutemen in this one. For Yale, I think they are not only overpriced, but also in a tough spot here playing their 3rd straight on the road in a 8 day stretch. Take UMASS! 

4* NBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rockets -10½ -115

I got no problem laying double-digits here with Houston, as we should get a big effort with the Rockets coming off a upset loss at home to the Kings. Not many better teams to get right against than the Cavs right now. After losing by 47 at Philadelphia on Saturday they responded by losing by 22 at Boston. Houston can pretty much name the score in this one. 

Rockets have covered 5 of their last 6 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and have covered 4 of their last 5 off a loss and failed cover. Cavs are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs a team with a winning record and have lost 4 straight as a dog. Take Houston! 

1* NCAAB - Free Pick on Illinois +2 

I like the value here with the Fighting Illini as a home dog against the Wolverines. The books are begging for money here on Michigan at this price and the public is taking the bait. We cashed in on Penn State at home against Maryland in a very similar spot last night. 

A lot of people put the Wolverines into an elite class after their incredible 3-game run in the Battle 4 Atlantis that saw them knock off Iowa State, North Carolina and Gonzaga in a 3-day stretch. We saw Michigan come back to reality in a 58-43 loss at Louisville and then found themselves in a shootout against Iowa that saw them win 103-91. 

Might be tough here for the Wolverines to play their best on the road against a feisty Illinois team that should have beat Maryland on the road in their last game. Note that the Wolverines also have a big game on deck against a nationally ranked Oregon team on Saturday. Take Illinois! 

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5* NCAAB - Sharp Money PLAY OF THE MONTH on Boise State +3 -110

Love the value here with the Broncos as a road dog against the Golden Hurricane, as my numbers say Boise State should be favored here. Tulsa comes in at 7-2, but it's a fraudulent mark, as they have played the 353rd ranked strength of schedule.

We saw some of how overvalued the Golden Hurricane are in their last game, as they lost outright at home as a 13-point favorite to Arkansas State. Boise State on the other hand has been way undervalued of late. Broncos are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. 

I just don't see Tulsa being able to keep pace offensively. Tulsa is only averaging 70.9 ppg and that's against opponents that on average give up 75.7 ppg. Boise State is scoring 81.0 ppg and that's against opponents that are giving up just 71.0 ppg. Take Boise State!