Jimmy Boyd’s NBA Picks Against the Spread

3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Magic -1 -105

Orlando is definitely worth a look here at basically a pick'em on their home floor against the Celtics. Books are begging you to take Boston here at this price, especially with the Celtics coming off two massive blowouts, as they followed up a 139-107 win over the Lakers with a 119-95 win against Memphis. 

Key here is the Celtics are likely going to be down a few key pieces. We know Enes Kanter won't be available and both Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum are questionable to play. Orlando is always a tough to team to get up for and the Magic play well at home. They really get after you defensively and like to slow the game way down. 

With a big matchup looming on Sunday at New Orleans against Zion and the Pelicans, I think we see Boston go through the motions here and drop a game they probably shouldn't. Take Orlando! 

4* NBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Pelicans -3½ -109

Easy play here on the Pelicans laying a short number at home against the short-handed Nuggets. New Orleans failed to deliver in Zion Williamson's debut Wednesday against the Spurs and it just looked like the Pelicans were a bit out of sorts with all the hype around that game. San Antonio is also not a team you want to face in that spot, especially with how well they have been playing. 

We saw New Orleans priced very similarly in that game and I just think there's value in this matchup against Denver. Pelicans should only get better going forward and the minutes restriction for Zion should keep increasing. 

Nuggets are decimated right now. Paul Millsap, Mason Plumlee and Jamal Murray are all out. Plus, you got both Gary Harris and Michael Porter Jr. listed as question. Not to mention this is Denver's 3rd straight on the road with a big rematch on deck at home against the Rockets looming Sunday. Take New Orleans! 

1* NCAAB - Free Pick on Brown Bears +5½

Brown is definitely worth a look as a home dog in Friday's Ivy League showdown with Yale. Bears will be highly motivated to get their revenge on the Bulldogs, from last week's 16-point loss.

Plenty of reason to believe the Bears flip the script on their home floor. The difference in the previous match was turnovers and 3-point shooting. Brown was 3 for 21 (14.3%) from deep, while the Bulldogs were 10-24 (41.7%). They also had 19 turnovers to Yale's 12. Overall shooting percentages, rebounds and free throws were all even. 

Bears should be able to protect the ball better on their home court, while the 3-point shooting could be a complete reversal. Brown is shooting 38% from deep at home, where they are also limiting teams to 26%. 

Yale is also at a disadvantage here in terms of rest. While Brown has had the week off following that loss to the Bulldogs, Yale had to go play a road game at Howard on Monday. 

Bears are 6-2 ATS last 8 at home and 21-8 ATS last 29 at home off a road loss by 10 or more. Take Brown! 

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5* NCAAB - MAC TOTAL PLAY OF THE MONTH on Kent State/Buffalo under 156 -110

I absolutely love the value here with the UNDER in Friday's massive total in the MAC between Buffalo and Kent State. No question these are two of the better offensive teams in the MAC, but this is just too many points. 

Both of these teams rank in the Top 6 in defensive efficiency in the MAC and Kent State is one of the few teams that can slow down Buffalo. Bulls are not a great 3-point shooting team. They are No. 1 in the MAC in 2-pt percentage, yet 11th in 3-pt percentage. That plays right into the Golden Flashes defense, which is No. 2 in the conference in 2-pt percentage defense. 

Bulls are coming off back-to-back high scoring games, as they had 86 in a win at Central Michigan and then 90 at home against Western Michigan. That's important to note as the UNDER is a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 home games after two straight games where they scored 85 or more. UNDER is also 6-0 in their last 6 at home off 4 or more consecutive wins. Take the UNDER! 

3* GOLF - BEST BET on Cheng Tsung Pan +158

Golf matchups use a predictive statistical model based on recent ability shown in key areas of the game and course fit. 

This play is on Cheng Tsung Pan to finish better than Russell Knox in Friday's 2nd round action at the Farmers Insurance Open! 

4* GOLF - BEST BET on Dylan Frittelli +173

Golf matchups use a predictive statistical model based on recent ability shown in key areas of the game and course fit. 

This play is on Dylan Frittelli to finish better than Tony Finau in Friday's 2nd round action at the Farmers Insurance Open! 

4* GOLF - BEST BET on Carlos Ortiz +114

Golf matchups use a predictive statistical model based on recent ability shown in key areas of the game and course fit. 

This play is on Carlos Ortiz to finish better than Bud Cauley in Friday's 2nd round action at the Farmers Insurance Open! 

4* GOLF - BEST BET on Byeong-Hun An -120

Golf matchups use a predictive statistical model based on recent ability shown in key areas of the game and course fit. 

This play is on Byeong-Hun An to finish better than Joel Dahmen in Friday's 2nd round action at the Farmers Insurance Open! 

4* GOLF - BEST BET on Justin Rose -120

Golf matchups use a predictive statistical model based on recent ability shown in key areas of the game and course fit. 

This play is on Justin Rose to finish better than Jordan Spieth in Friday's 2nd round action at the Farmers Insurance Open!