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10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Seton Hall -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pirates covering the 5-point spread at home against the Musketeers. Seton Hall has already went on the road and beat Xavier by 10 (80-70) this season, so we know they matchup well with the Musketeers. I also simply think that the Pirates are the much better team. 

Seton Hall comes in with a very mediocre 7-6 record in Big East play, but it could really be a lot better. Of the 6 conference losses for the Pirates, 4 have come by 4-points or less and 5 of the 6 have come on the road. We have really started to see this team come into form of late, as they have won 3 straight and 4 of their last 5, while covering each of their last 4. 

When the Pirates get hot its a good idea to jump on board, as they have gone 11-3 ATS last 13 when coming off back-to-back covers. Xavier has won their last two which I think is playing into the favorable number. Musketeers are still just 2-6 ATS last 8 Big East games, 3-7 ATS last 10 off a cover and 1-4 ATS last 5 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Pirates -5! 

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50* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE YEAR (LSU -6.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with LSU laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Gators. All the talk in the SEC is around Kentucky and Tennessee right now, yet the Tigers come into this game sitting at 11-1 in league play with their only loss in conference play coming by a single-point. Not to mention they went on the road and beat Tennessee. 

Not surprised at all they failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite at Georgia off the big upset of Kentucky. It's not like they played bad, as they shot 56% from the field on the road. LSU comes in averaging 85.8 ppg at home and I just don't see Florida being able to keep pace. The Gators shot 54% in their last game against Alabama, but prior to that had shot 36% or worse in 4 of their previous 6 and are only averaging 61.9 ppg on the road. 

It just seems like every time the Gators get matched up with a top tier team in the SEC they lose by double-digit and I don't think this will be any different. Give me the Tigers -6.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Georgia +7) 

Just a week ago I went against Georgia after head coach Tom Crean called out his team in a real negative way and they didn't disappoint, losing 73-56 at Texas A&M. I was curious to how they would respond after that game and they came out and played their hearts out against LSU at home, narrowly losing 83-79. 

That's now 6 straight losses for Georgia and I just think they are sick and tired of losing and will give another big effort here against Mississippi State. Whether or not it's enough to get the win is up in the air, but I really like their chances of at least keeping it within the number. The Bulldogs have been extremely inconsistent in SEC play and are now playing short-handed with the suspension to sophomore guard Nick Weatherspoon. Only 7 players were in the rotation in Miss State's last game against Arkansas. This is a game Georgia can win outright. Give me the Bulldogs +7! 

40* NCAAB UNC/DUKE PRIME TIME ATS MASSACRE (N Carolina +9) 

I just think this is way too many points for the Tar Heels to be catching in arguably the best rivalry in college basketball. I don’t think there’s a more public play on the bard than Duke right now and with them moving back to No. 1 in the polls, there’s no doubt in my mind the line for this one is inflated by at least a couple points if not more.

At the same time, I don’t feel like this North Carolina team gets the respect they deserve. Sure they are No. 8 in the country, but there’s been so much hype around Duke and Virginia in the ACC people fail to realize how good UNC is. I think a lot of people would be surprised that with a win the Tar Heels would move into a tie for 1st place in the ACC.  

One of the reasons that I think UNC is flying under the radar right now is they had that early 21-point loss at home to Louisville, which just isn’t something you expect to see from a elite team. I think that loss really knocked this team down a notch in a lot of people’s eye. They also had that recent home loss to Virginia by 8, but that was a game they should have won. UNC led the majority of the 2nd half and had a 7-point lead with 8 to play.  

Those are the only two losses for the Tar Heels in the ACC and it’s worth noting that they later returned the favor and beat Louisville by double-digits on their home floor.  

What really impressed me about North Carolina and that loss to gut-wrenching loss to Virginia, is how they responded by annihilating Wake Forest on the road 95-57. For them to show up with that kind of focus against the Demon Deacons, coming off that loss to the Cavaliers and this game against Duke on deck, really says a lot about the make-up of this team. I also think it’s worth pointing out that this is a very veteran team that really understands what the atmosphere is going to be like.  

It certainly doesn’t hurt to see that UNC has covered 6 of the last 8 meetings overall and are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games played at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Give me the Tar Heels +9!