Ben Burns Expert NBA Picks & Free Plays

I'm playing on NY. Off their big win over the rival 76'ers, I feel it'll be easy for the champs to suffer a bit of a letdown against lowly New York. That'll prove costly, however, as the Knicks are playing well right now. In fact, they've covered the spread in three straight. While the Raptors have indeed won five straight, they're just 12-21-1 ATS the past 2+ seasons, when off five or more consec. victories. The Knicks haven't forgotten an earlier 28-point loss at Toronto. They're 9-5 ATS the past 14 times that they attempted to avenge a loss of 20 or more points and that includes a 4-1 ATS mark when attempting to avenge a road loss of 20 or more. Expect them to give their guests all they can handle tonight. 

I'm playing on WRIGHT STATE. These teams both won on their homecourt when playing during the regular season last year. However, the Raiders haven't forgotten that the Norse knocked them out of the Horizon Finals. Indeed, they've had this game circled since the schedule came out. Both teams last played on 1/18. That amount of rest figures to favor the home team. Over the past 2+ seasons, the Norse are 4-10 ATS when playing with five or six day's worth of rest in between games. During the same span, the Raiders are 11-6 ATS when doing so. While they may not have covered (won by 7, when laying -11) I really liked the fact that the Raiders only turned the ball over six times in Saturday's win. That was tied for their fewest number of turnovers, against a Div. 1 team, since 2014. Note that the Norse score 66.7 ppg on the road compared to Wright State's 82.8 ppg at home. They're 9-2 ATS the past 2+ seasons, after failing to cover two or more consecutive games. Off three straight ATS losses, expect the Raiders to respond with a big win and cover tonight.