Art Aronson – AAA Sports NBA Picks & Plays

10* OVER D-Backs/Mariners.

The Mariners have now won five of their last six after taking the first two games of this series. They've also seen the total go "under" in five straight now, but that's significant to take note of as Seattle has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Brandon Pfaadt (1-1, 4.97 ERA) goes for Arizona, while Logan Gilbert (2-0, 1.87) counters for the home side. Gilbert looks poised for regression after this blistering start and after getting held to just a single run in each of the last two games, we're expecting this talented hitting Diamondbacks line-up to be there to take advantage. This number is a little low, so the play is the "over!" 

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10* UNDER Oilers/Kings (SUPER BLOWOUT)

All three games have so far flown "over" the number in this series, but we're expecting much more of a defensive affair this time around finally here in LA. Edmonton is up 2-1, but note that LA has in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. Fatigue now becomes a factor here for each side. The public is quick to back another high-scoring affair here, but that fact only lends weight for our contrarian nature as well when it comes to this selection. We say that Game 4 will finally be a lower-scoring defensive battle; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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10* Suns (BLOCKBUSTER)

Minnesota has surprisingly dominated this series. The Wolves were favored to win, but still no one expected the Suns to get swept. And we still don't think that'll be the case. They say that winning the fourth game of any series is the most difficult. Note that Phoenix is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Minnesota is on the cusp of wrapping up this series, but a letdown appears imminent in our eyes. Too much talent and heart still left here on this Phoenix team, much like the Lakers last night, who just delayed the inevitable now heading back to Denver. Either way, the play for us here in Game 4 is indeed on Phoenix!

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10* Knicks (ASSASSIN)

Philadelphia took Game 3, but we're expecting a battle until the final horn here in Game 4 after the 125-114 setback on Thursday. note that the Knicks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. Both teams have had to deal with injuries and are still dealing with injuries. Home court has so far proven to be an advantage in this series, but we say that trend gets bucked today. In what we suspect will be an all out war, we're grabbing the points!

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