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NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
NBA Season Special!

Steve Merril's complete NBA season for one price!  Every Pro Basketball Side & Total for the rest of the season from now thru the NBA Finals in June 2015!  Learn while you earn with detailed analysis with every winning NBA play!

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MLB SUBSCRIPTIONS
MLB Full Season Special!

Steve Merril is a **BASEBALL EXPERT**  Get Steve Merril's complete MLB Season for one price!  Every MLB Side + Total for the entire year thru the World Series in October 2015 right now... and SAVE BIG!  Direct access every day for the entire 2015 MLB Season with full detailed analysis for one price!

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 25, 2015
Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks
Chicago Bulls
-4½ -103 at pinnacle
Lost
$103.0
Play Type: Premium

Chicago is up 3-0 on Milwaukee in this series, and we expect the Bulls to get the series sweep tonight.  Chicago comes into tonight on a 7-game winning streak; they’ve won those games by an average of 11.3 points per game.  Chicago battled thru injuries all season, but they have their original starting five back on the court.  The Bulls are 19-5 this season when their original starters play together.  There’s a huge difference between this year’s team and the Bulls teams of the past.  Chicago was usually worn out by the time the playoffs started because head coach Tom Thibodeau played his starters way too many minutes.  This year, with all their injuries, the Bulls’ starters have played limited minutes.  Now that they are healthy, they are also a much fresher team in the playoffs.  Chicago has a lot of upside, and they’ve dominated Milwaukee.  The Bulls are 6-1 SU versus the Bucks this season with all six wins coming by 7 points or more.  Chicago’s defense held Milwaukee to just 71, 86, 87, 91, 82, and 95 points in regulation time in those wins. 

Milwaukee put everything they had into Game 3, and it will be difficult for them to bounce back tonight considering how they lost their last game.  The Bucks built an 18-point lead in the second quarter before Chicago stormed back and led by 8 points with just 1:37 left in the game.  Milwaukee closed on a 9-1 run to take the game into the first overtime.  Milwaukee ultimately lost 113-106 in double overtime; a defeat that basically ended their season.  The Bucks are now just 11-21 SU since the All-Star break; their offensive and defensive efficiency numbers have declined sharply.  Milwaukee has won games this season with their defense, but that unit is playing poorly, and the Bucks simply do not have the offense to overcome it.  Milwaukee owns the worst offense in the playoffs based on efficiency numbers, so the Bucks are simply up against it.  We’ve won with Best Bet winners on Chicago in the first three games, and we’ll come right back and lay the points with the Bulls in Game 4 on Saturday night.                     

10* Play BULLS (-).

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 25, 2015
Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels
Total
8 ov+101 at pinnacle
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

Los Angeles will host Texas on Saturday night.  The Angels will start C.J. Wilson who is now on the mound after being scratched from his Thursday start due to shoulder stiffness.  He was awful in his one home start this season, allowing 7 runs and 9 hits in just 5.2 innings for a 9.52 ERA and 1.76 WHIP.  Wilson has struggled in his eight career starts against Texas, going 1-2 with a terrible 7.36 ERA and an awful 1.96 WHIP.  Elvis Andrus (8-21), Adrian Beltre (11-34), and Prince Fielder (6-12) all have good numbers against the southpaw.  Texas’ offense is in excellent current form as they’ve scored 24 runs in their last four games which all came on the road.

Texas will send Colby Lewis to the mound tonight.  The Rangers’ starter is 5-8 with a poor 5.53 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 17 career starts against Los Angeles.  Just about the entire Los Angeles lineup has good numbers against Lewis.  The Rangers and Angels are 23-15 to the Over in their last 38 meetings, including 11-6 to the Over in their last 17 meetings in Anaheim.  Look for a high-scoring game between Texas and Los Angeles on Saturday night.

9* Play OVER the total (Rangers/Angels).

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 25, 2015
San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
-125 at Bovada
Lost
$125.0
Play Type: Premium

San Francisco and Colorado will play Game 2 of their 3-game series on Saturday night.  The Giants will start Tim Hudson in this game.  Hudson has already lost 4-1 to the Rockies this season, and that game was in San Francisco.  Hudson now pitches in Coors Field where he has been awful.  Hudson is 0-2 with a woeful 7.29 ERA in Colorado, giving up 55 hits in 42 innings of work.  Charlie Blackmon (6-19), Corey Dickerson (4-10), DJ LeMahieu (4-11), and Troy Tulowitzki (6-22) all hit Hudson hard.  

Colorado will send Jorge De La Rosa to the mound.  De La Rosa is 9-6 with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in 21 career starts against San Francisco.  Brandon Belt (2-8), Angel Pagan (7-30), and Nori Aoki (0-4) have struggled against De La Rosa.  San Francisco is just 4-10 over their last 14 games, and their offense has been very weak, scoring 3 runs or less in nine of those games.  Colorado is hitting .303 as a team at home this season where they are averaging 4.6 runs per game.  The Rockies are 4-0 against the Giants this season, so we’ll lay the price with Colorado in this game on Saturday night.

9* Play ROCKIES (-) (action).

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 26, 2015
Los Angeles Clippers vs San Antonio Spurs
Total
199 ov-110 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Los Angeles and San Antonio could very well be 3-0 to the Under in this series had it not been for a fluky overtime result in Game 2.  Despite the low-scoring games in regulation time, the Clippers and Spurs have played at a fast pace in this series.  We’ll toss the results from Game 3 because that game was not truly played as San Antonio never trailed and led by as many as 37 points.  In Games 1 and 2, the teams combined to take 354 shots with 105 attempts from three-point land.  The teams combined for 63 fast-break points, and 184 of the 417 total points scored came from inside the paint.  Los Angeles’ offense was awful in Game 3 as they shot just 34.1% (29-85) from the field and 26.1% (6-23) from three-point land.  The Clippers scored just 11 points in the third quarter which was their lowest point total in a quarter this season.  Los Angeles’ offense is too good to play that bad again, especially against the Spurs since the Clippers ranked #1 in offensive efficiency against San Antonio’s defense this season.

San Antonio’s offense was good in Game 3.  The Spurs shot 52.6% (40-76) from the field and 41.7% (10-24) from three-point land on Friday night.  San Antonio got extreme contributions from a pair of unlikely sources in that game.  Kawhi Leonard, who is a defensive specialist, scored 32 points on an incredible 72.2% (13-18) shooting from the field and 60% (3-5) shooting from three-point land.  Reserve Boris Diaw scored 15 point on 62.5% (5-8) shooting off the bench.  Leonard and Diaw led the Spurs in scoring, and only Danny Green (11 points) scored more than 9 points in that game.  San Antonio got big games from role players, so their top scorers will bounce back with much better performances in this game.  We expect a high-scoring game between Los Angeles and San Antonio in Game 4 on Sunday afternoon.                            

9* Play OVER the total.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 26, 2015
Los Angeles Clippers vs San Antonio Spurs
Los Angeles Clippers
+6½ -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Los Angeles was thoroughly embarrassed by San Antonio in Game 3; the Spurs won that game by 27 points (100-73).  That loss can be forgiven since the Clippers were playing with a hangover from their blown win in Game 2.  Los Angeles had a 2-point lead with the ball with less than 15 seconds left to play when Blake Griffin turned the ball over.  That miscue allowed San Antonio to tie the game and send it to overtime; the Spurs eventually won 111-107.  Once the Spurs jumped out to an early lead in Game 3, it was obvious that the Clippers were going to get blown out.  Los Angeles’ offense was awful in that game as they shot just 34.1% (29-85) from the field and 26.1% (6-23) from three-point land.  The Clippers scored just 11 points in the third quarter which was their lowest point total in a quarter this season.  Los Angeles’ offense is too good to play that bad again, especially against the Spurs since the Clippers ranked #1 in offensive efficiency against San Antonio’s defense this season.    

San Antonio played a perfect Game 3 after escaping Los Angeles with a fortunate win in Game 2.  The Spurs shot 52.6% (40-76) from the field and 41.7% (10-24) from three-point land on Friday night.  San Antonio got extreme contributions from a pair of unlikely sources in that game.  Kawhi Leonard, who is a defensive specialist, scored 32 points on an incredible 72.2% (13-18) shooting from the field and 60% (3-5) shooting from three-point land.  Reserve Boris Diaw scored 15 point on 62.5% (5-8) shooting off the bench.  Leonard and Diaw led the Spurs in scoring, and only Danny Green (11 points) scored more than 9 points in that game.  San Antonio got big games from role players, so the blowout win was more of an anomaly than anything else.  These two teams are much closer than the misleading 27-point margin in the last game.  With Los Angeles off back-to-back losses, including an embarrassing effort in their last game, we expect a strong bounce back performance from the Clippers in Game 4 on Sunday afternoon.                         

10* Play CLIPPERS (+).

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 26, 2015
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks
+1½ -122 at pinnacle
Lost
$122.0
Play Type: Premium

Pittsburgh will conclude their three-game series in Arizona on Sunday afternoon.  Francisco Liriano continues to look for his first win of the season for the Pirates.  Liriano has decent numbers so far, but he is coming off an outing in which he only lasted five innings while giving up 3 runs on Tuesday.  Arizona is 3-1 versus left-handed starters this year while scoring 5.2 runs per game against them.  Liriano has never beaten the Diamondbacks in two career starts, including a 3-2 road loss last August as a -165 favorite.

Arizona’s Jeremy Hellickson is coming off a winning effort in San Francisco where he allowed just 1 run in 6.2 innings of work.  Only three hitters in the Giants' lineup have faced Hellickson before, and none of them have a hit in seven at-bats.  Pittsburgh’s offense has been weak this season, especially on the road where they are only hitting .223 as a team while averaging just 3.7 runs per game.  There is solid value with Arizona as a +1.5 runline home underdog in this game on Sunday afternoon.

9* Play DIAMONDBACKS (+1.5 runline).

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 26, 2015
Cleveland Indians vs Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
+111 at pinnacle
Won
$111
Play Type: Premium

Cleveland will finish their three-game series in Detroit on Sunday afternoon.  Carlos Carrasco will get the start for the Indians.  Carrasco is 1-5 with a terrible 8.18 ERA and an ugly 2.33 WHIP in seven career starts against Detroit.  In the span of 10 days last season, he gave up 5 runs and 17 hits to the Tigers; Detroit won both of those games.  The Tigers are hitting .291 while scoring 4.6 runs per game in 12 games against right-handed starters this season.  Cleveland’s bullpen is 0-3 this year with two blown saves already and a weak 1.43 WHIP overall.

Detroit will send Kyle Lobstein to the mound this afternoon.  Lobstein already owns a win over Cleveland after he held them to 3 runs in five innings of work exactly two weeks ago.  Lobstein has given up just 4 runs and 11 hits in two starts for Detroit this season.  The Indians are only 1-5 versus left-handed starters this season while hitting .192 and only averaging 3.2 runs per game.  The Tigers are 30-13 in their last 43 games against Cleveland, including 4-1 this season.  There is solid value with Detroit as a rare home underdog in this game on Sunday afternoon. 

9* Play TIGERS (+) (action).

SERVICE BIO

Steve Merril is considered one of the best sports analysts in the nation. He credits his success to employing a variety of different handicapping techniques such as statistical analysis, trends and systems, and fundamentals such as matchups and emotion. By relying on numerous handicapping methods, Steve continues to beat the pointspread on a consistent basis in both college and pro football, basketball, baseball, and auto racing.

Steve was the first person to ever win the prestigious $100,000 Insiders Handicapping Invitational and his unique knowledge and understanding of the gaming industry is what separates him from other handicappers. Steve has spent the past 15 years studying the odds and probabilities associated with all forms of gambling such as poker, casino games, and even the stock market. Steve has transferred this unique knowledge and understanding of statistics and probabilities into the sports world, which has enabled him to win on a consistent basis.

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