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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 05, 2015
VCU vs. Davidson
Play Type: Premium

Virginia Commonwealth and Davidson played back on January 7th with the Rams winning 71-65 on their home court.  VCU was playing much better basketball back then, yet they were only able to beat the Wildcats by 6 points on VCU's strong home court as a 10.5 point favorite.  The Rams now come into this rematch in terrible current form; they’ve lost two straight games and they are only 4-5 SU over their last nine games.  VCU lost starting point guard Briante Weber to a season-ending knee injury on January 31st, and that’s when the Rams started to struggle.  Weber was a key clog on both ends of the court for VCU, and he was on pace to break the NCAA’s all-time steals record.  VCU’s pressing style has been hampered without Weber on the court, and nothing in their recent games suggests that the Rams will get back to their early season form.  VCU’s offense has declined without Weber, and over their last five games, the Rams are only shooting 40.8% from the field and just 31.1% from three-point land.  The loss of their point guard has really altered the direction of this Virginia Commonwealth team.

Davidson is definitely a tournament-caliber squad, but the Wildcats need a big win to get them into the Big Dance.  Tonight’s game against VCU presents them with a terrific opportunity to get a resume-building win.  Davidson is an excellent team that comes into tonight’s game with a 21-6 SU record, including a strong 13-1 SU record at home.  The Wildcats were facing VCU’s press for the first time earlier this season, and despite losing, they were not embarrassed in defeat.  Now that they have the experience of facing the pressure, they will be more prepared this time around, and fortunately for Davidson, they are catching VCU at exactly the right time.  Davidson is well-suited to handle VCU’s ‘Havoc’ style of basketball as they have excellent ball handlers and shooters.  The Wildcats lead the A-10 conference in assist-turnover ratio (1.7) while averaging a league-low 9.6 turnovers per game.  Davidson owns a +19.8 point differential on their home court where their offense is averaging 82 points per game on 49.6% shooting from the field and 44.8% shooting from three-point land.  Davidson has been the most profitable pointspread team in the country with an incredible 20-4 ATS mark this season.  We’ll lay the points with the Wildcats in this game on Thursday night.

10* Play DAVIDSON (-).


Steve Merril is considered one of the best sports analysts in the nation. He credits his success to employing a variety of different handicapping techniques such as statistical analysis, trends and systems, and fundamentals such as matchups and emotion. By relying on numerous handicapping methods, Steve continues to beat the pointspread on a consistent basis in both college and pro football, basketball, baseball, and auto racing.

Steve was the first person to ever win the prestigious $100,000 Insiders Handicapping Invitational and his unique knowledge and understanding of the gaming industry is what separates him from other handicappers. Steve has spent the past 15 years studying the odds and probabilities associated with all forms of gambling such as poker, casino games, and even the stock market. Steve has transferred this unique knowledge and understanding of statistics and probabilities into the sports world, which has enabled him to win on a consistent basis.

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