Steve Merril Steve Merril
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NCAA-B SUBSCRIPTIONS
NCAA Basketball Season Special!

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BASKETBALL [NBA+NCAAB] SUBSCRIPTIONS
NBA + NCAAB **Combo** Season Special!

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NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
NBA Season Special!

Steve Merril's complete NBA season for one price!  Every Pro Basketball Side & Total for the rest of the season from now thru the NBA Finals in June 2015!  Learn while you earn with detailed analysis with every winning NBA play!

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MLB SUBSCRIPTIONS
MLB **Early-Bird** Season Special!

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Mar 27, 2015
Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
+3½-110
  at  BOVADA
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Golden State is obviously one of the best teams in the NBA, but the Warriors have their eyes on the playoffs, not a meaningless regular season game like tonight.  Golden State is also set to play six of their next seven games on the road with five of those games against playoff bound teams from the Western Conference.  It wouldn't be a surprise to see the Warriors rest some of their starters, especially if they get behind early.  Golden State is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS over their last seven games while winning six of those games by 31, 18, 31, 19, 16, and 15 points.  That type of dominance is simply unsustainable, and we don’t expect the Warriors to repeat their last performance in Portland.  Golden State scored 122 points after shooting 60.2% (50-83) from the field and 46.2% (12-26) from three-point land.  

Memphis was terrible in their last home game, a 111-89 loss to Cleveland.  That was Memphis’ worst home loss since 2013, and off such an embarrassing performance, we expect a big bounce back effort tonight.  Heavy money came in on the Grizzlies in their last game, and Memphis was a 3.5-point home favorite over Golden State the last time they met in December; the Grizzlies won that game 105-98.  With Memphis off the blowout loss, the line is grossly inflated and there’s tremendous line value on the Grizzlies in this game.  Memphis is 27-8 at home this season where they own a +6.3 point differential.  Memphis’ defense is holding opponents to just 94 points per game on 45.8% shooting from the field and 33.2% shooting from three-point land.  Memphis is greatly undervalued in this game, and since they were embarrassed in their last home game, we’ll take the points with the Grizzlies in this game on Friday night.                   

9* Play GRIZZLIES (+).

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 27, 2015
Utah vs. Duke
Utah
+5½-110
  at  BOVADA
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Duke is obviously a good team as they come into tonight’s game with a 31-4 record.  They won their first two tournament games easily, but they played inferior competition.  In their last game against San Diego State, the Blue Devils faced a very good defense, but an offense that was one of the worst in the entire tournament.  Duke shot 54.5% (30-55) from the field and 42.9% (6-14) from three-point land on a San Diego State defense that only gave up 0.86 points per possession this season.  Duke’s defense had little to do since the Aztecs’ offense was horrendous at 0.98 points per possession this season.  Duke will now face a Utah team that is elite on both ends of the court as their offense averages 1.12 points per possession while their defense holds opponents to just 0.89 points per possession.  Duke is taking a monumental step-up in class versus Utah in this game.     

Utah won a difficult match-up against Stephen F. Austin in their first tournament game.  The Utes then took care of Georgetown rather easily, and now we expect Utah to take Duke right down to the wire.  Utah has their best team in a decade, and they match-up extremely well against Duke.  Utah has a terrific +14.1 point differential this season, and that shows how dominant of a team they’ve been.  The Utes’ defense is outstanding as they are holding opponents to just 57.2 points per game on 38.3% shooting from the field and 31.2% shooting from three-point land.  The Utah offense is averaging 71.3 points per game on 48.2% shooting from the field and 40.5% shooting from three-point land.  Utah is just as good as Duke, so we’ll take the points with the Utes in this game on Friday night.       

9* Play UTAH (+).

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 27, 2015
Michigan State vs. Oklahoma
Michigan State
-1½-110
  at  PINNACLE
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Oklahoma is a good team with a terrific head coach in Lon Kruger, but the Sooners are up against it in this game against Michigan State.  Oklahoma got two dream setups for their first two games of the tournament, but the Sooners were sluggish in both games.  In their first game, Oklahoma played an overmatched Albany team that upset their conference tournament on a last-second shot.  Oklahoma then faced Dayton in their second game, and the Flyers were playing their third game in five days, and their sixth game in ten days.  Despite their opponents being in terrible scheduling and situational spots, Oklahoma only won both games by single digits.  Oklahoma wasn’t a good road team this season as they went just 5-6 in true road games, and just 10-9 overall away from home.  The Sooners only have a +1.2 point differential in away games this season while Michigan State is 13-7 in away games with a +5.3 point differential.  Those numbers clearly show that the Spartans played much better basketball than the Sooners away from home this season.

Michigan State is 6-1 over their last seven games, and they come into this game off a pair of solid tournament wins.  The Spartans completely dominated Virginia from the opening tip in their last game, and the Cavaliers would have been my second highest rated team if they made the Sweet 16.  Michigan State is the second best team in the Big 10, and the gap between them and Wisconsin is much closer than people think.  The fact that Michigan State was slated as a #7 seed was a joke.  Michigan State had the best defense in the Big 10 conference based on efficiency metrics, and they have a similar look to the vintage teams coached by Tom Izzo as they are tenacious on the offensive and defensive glass.  Michigan State’s defense is only allowing 63.1 points per game on 39.5% shooting from the field and 31.8% shooting from three-point land this season.  Michigan State is simply the better team, so we’ll lay the points with the Spartans on Friday night.        

10* Play MICHIGAN STATE (-).

SERVICE BIO

Steve Merril is considered one of the best sports analysts in the nation. He credits his success to employing a variety of different handicapping techniques such as statistical analysis, trends and systems, and fundamentals such as matchups and emotion. By relying on numerous handicapping methods, Steve continues to beat the pointspread on a consistent basis in both college and pro football, basketball, baseball, and auto racing.

Steve was the first person to ever win the prestigious $100,000 Insiders Handicapping Invitational and his unique knowledge and understanding of the gaming industry is what separates him from other handicappers. Steve has spent the past 15 years studying the odds and probabilities associated with all forms of gambling such as poker, casino games, and even the stock market. Steve has transferred this unique knowledge and understanding of statistics and probabilities into the sports world, which has enabled him to win on a consistent basis.

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