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Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 26, 2015
Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Atlanta Hawks
+7½ -108 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

Atlanta played terrible basketball in both games on their home court, and it was the first time all season in which they lost back-to-back home games.  The Hawks came to play in Game 3 in Cleveland despite missing starter Kyle Korver.  The Hawks also had to play without Al Horford who got ejected for a flagrant foul.  Atlanta was quite impressive in taking the Cavaliers into overtime considering their limited lineup.  There is some concern with the way the Hawks lost Game 3 and being down 3-0 in this series, but these quotes say this Class-A team isn’t going to give up.  “We know we can compete at a high level,” Hawks point guard Jeff Teague said.  “We know we can beat this team.”  Shelvin Mack added: “You can’t judge three games over 82 games. Our record speaks for itself.”  Overall, the Hawks have won 68 games this season, and their offense ranked #2 in efficiency against Cleveland’s defense this season.  Atlanta’s offense averaged 109 points per game against Cleveland in the regular season, so we expect a repeat performance of Game 3 from the Hawks tonight.  

Cleveland is up 3-0 in this series thanks to their three-point shooting.  Cleveland has hit a combined 36 three’s in the first three games compared to Atlanta only making 21 three’s in those games.  That’s a difference of 45 points in favor of Cleveland, and the major difference in this series considering the Cavaliers three wins have come by a combined 23 points.  Cleveland’s three-point shooting is due for regression in Game 4 while Atlanta’s three-point shooting is due for a positive reversal, and that alone makes this game much closer.  Cleveland sat Kyrie Irving in Games 2 and 3 with a knee injury, and it appears they will keep him out of tonight’s game, especially since they are up 3-0 in the series.  LeBron James scored 37 points on 37 shot attempts in Game 3, but he was clearly fatigued after that performance.  He is also dealing with a bunch of nagging injuries, so he may regress tonight.  Despite losing the first three games, Atlanta is still an excellent team at an inflated price, so we’ll back the Hawks in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Tuesday night.                 

10* Play HAWKS (+).

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 26, 2015
Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins
8 ov-117 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

Boston will play in Minnesota on Tuesday night.  The Red Sox will start Clay Buchholz who is 2-5 with a terrible 4.59 ERA in nine outings for Boston this season.  Last year, Buchholz allowed 3 runs and 10 hits in six innings pitched against the Twins in Minnesota.  Joe Mauer (7-16) and Kurt Suzuki (8-15) have hit Buchholz well.  Minnesota’s offense is in excellent current form as they have scored 15 runs in their past two games, including the 7 runs they scored in their win over Boston last night.  The Twins have been particularly strong offensively at home this year where they are averaging 5.6 runs per game with a .294 team batting average.

Minnesota will start Mike Pelfrey in this game tonight.  Pelfrey has gone Over the total in two of his last three starts with a weak 1.42 WHIP in those outings and only six strikeouts in 17.2 innings pitched.  He's had no power this season with just 22 strikeouts in 45 innings of work.  Boston’s offense has scored 21 total runs over their last four games, and despite Monday’s poor 8-for-34 performance, the Red Sox are still hitting .293 during their past seven games.  With two poor pitchers on the mound facing two offenses in good current form, we expect a high-scoring game between the Red Sox and Twins on Tuesday night.

9* Play OVER the total (Red Sox/Twins).

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 26, 2015
San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
-146 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

San Francisco will play Game 2 of their 3-game series in Milwaukee on Tuesday night.  The Giants will start Madison Bumgarner in this game.  Bumgarner is 5-2 with a terrific 2.84 ERA and a tremendous 1.14 WHIP in his nine starts this season.  Bumgarner also owns a fantastic 1.65 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in seven career starts against Milwaukee.  He beat the Brewers at home last year, holding them to just 1 run and five hits in six innings of work.  Carlos Gomez (3-12) and Gerardo Parra (2-16) have poor numbers against Bumgarner.  Milwaukee is only hitting .226 in all games this season with a poor 16-30 record, including just 8-16 at home.

Milwaukee will start Matt Garza in this game tonight.  Garza has allowed 14 runs and 15 hits in his last two starts, and his struggles will continue in this game against the hot San Francisco offense.  The Giants have scored 74 runs over their last 11 games, so they come into this game in tremendous current form.  Overall, San Francisco is averaging 5.1 runs per game on the road this season with a .284 team batting average.  San Francisco holds all of the edges in this game, so we’ll lay the price with the Giants on Tuesday night.

9* Play GIANTS (-) (action).


Steve Merril is considered one of the best sports analysts in the nation. He credits his success to employing a variety of different handicapping techniques such as statistical analysis, trends and systems, and fundamentals such as matchups and emotion. By relying on numerous handicapping methods, Steve continues to beat the pointspread on a consistent basis in both college and pro football, basketball, baseball, and auto racing.

Steve was the first person to ever win the prestigious $100,000 Insiders Handicapping Invitational and his unique knowledge and understanding of the gaming industry is what separates him from other handicappers. Steve has spent the past 15 years studying the odds and probabilities associated with all forms of gambling such as poker, casino games, and even the stock market. Steve has transferred this unique knowledge and understanding of statistics and probabilities into the sports world, which has enabled him to win on a consistent basis.

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