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No. 2 Ranked Overall Handicapper in 2014! Jack Jones and his $1,000/game players have profited $63,820 this year in all sports! Sign up today!

20* NFC GAME OF THE WEEK! (17-1 Trend & 4 100% Systems)

No. 2 Ranked Overall Handicapper in 2014! Jack Jones and his $1,000/game players have profited $63,820 this year in all sports! He is riding a DOMINANT 419-350 Football Run long-term which includes a solid 75-59 NFL Run! If you want Jack's favorite play in the NFC this weekend, then sign up here for his 20* NFC GAME OF THE WEEK for just $34.95! This bad boy is backed by a MIND-BLOWING 17-1 System and another FOUR 100% Trends in his analysis that will have you sprinting to the pay window to place your wagers! It's a GUARANTEED WINNER or Monday NFL is ON JACK!

*This package includes 1 NFL pick

20* AFC GAME OF THE WEEK! (100% System Since 2008)

No. 2 Ranked Overall Handicapper in 2014! Jack Jones and his $1,000/game players have profited $63,820 this year in all sports! He is riding a DOMINANT 419-350 Football Run long-term which includes a solid 75-59 NFL Run! Come get your hands on Jack's favorite play in the AFC Sunday by signing up for his 20* AFC GAME OF THE WEEK for just $34.95! Inside you'll find a PERFECT 100% System in his analysis that HAS NOT LOST SINCE 2008! Now that's winning evidence you can count on folks! GUARANTEED or Monday NFL is ON JACK!

*This package includes 1 NFL pick

15* NFL Sunday Undervalued Underdog! (34-11 & 23-5 Systems)

No. 2 Ranked Overall Handicapper in 2014! Jack Jones and his $1,000/game players have profited $63,820 this year in all sports! He is riding a DOMINANT 419-350 Football Run long-term which includes a solid 75-59 NFL Run! Come take advantage of a HUGE LINE MISTAKE by the odsdmakers in Week 12 by signing up for Jack's 15* NFL Sunday Undervalued Underdog! You'll know that the favorite is laying too many points once you witness the PROVEN 34-11 & 23-5 Systems supporting the dog in his analysis! GUARANTEED or Monday NFL is ON JACK!

*This package includes 1 NFL pick

15* NFL Sunday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT! (41-13 System)

No. 2 Ranked Overall Handicapper in 2014! Jack Jones and his $1,000/game players have profited $63,820 this year in all sports! He is riding a DOMINANT 419-350 Football Run long-term which includes a solid 75-59 NFL Run! Jack releases his 15* NFL Sunday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT for just $29.95! He brings you an easy AFC vs. NFC winner here behind STRONG 41-13 & 38-12 Systems and another couple of 8-1 & 7-0 Trends in his analysis! His selection is GUARANTEED to get the money or Monday NFL is ON JACK!

*This package includes 1 NFL pick

15* NFL Sunday Early Afternoon ANNIHILATOR! (15-0 System)

No. 2 Ranked Overall Handicapper in 2014! Jack Jones and his $1,000/game players have profited $63,820 this year in all sports! He is riding a DOMINANT 419-350 Football Run long-term which includes a solid 75-59 NFL Run! Jack gets the winning started at 1:00 EST with his 15* NFL Sunday Early Afternoon ANNIHILATOR for just $29.95! He has you betting behind a PERFECT 15-0 System in his analysis that simply cannot miss! GUARANTEED or Monday NFL is ON JACK!

*This package includes 1 NFL pick

Jack's Sunday NFL 5-Play Power Pack! (No. 2 Overall 2014)

No. 2 Ranked Overall Handicapper in 2014! Jack Jones and his $1,000/game players have profited $63,820 this year in all sports! He is riding a MASSIVE 419-350 Football Run long-term which includes a solid 75-59 NFL Run! Bury your book on the pro gridiron this weekend by signing up for Jack's Sunday NFL 5-Play Power Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge is his 20* AFC GAME OF THE WEEK along with his 20* NFC GAME OF THE WEEK as his two featured top plays! It would cost you roughly $160.00 to buy all five picks separately, so YOU SAVE 100.00 by signing up for this 5-Pack! You are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Monday NFL is ON JACK!

*This package includes 5 NFL picks

ALL SPORTS SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 1-Day All Sports Pass!

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*This subscription includes 5 NFL picks

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*This subscription includes 5 NFL picks

NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 7-Day College Football Pass!

With this package you will receive ALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS released by Jack Jones for a FULL 7 Days! Plus, you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next 7 days of College Football picks are ON JACK!

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With this package you will receive ALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS released by Jack Jones for a FULL 30 Days! Plus, you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next 30 days of College Football picks are ON JACK!

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Jack Jones 2014-15 College Football Season Pass!

As of Tuesday, September 30th, Jack Jones has decided to LOWER THE PRICE BY $100.00 of his CFB season pass from $449.95 to $349.95! He is your No. 3 Ranked College Football Handicapper from 2012-13! Jack is currently riding a HUGE 171-135 College Football Run as of Tuesday, September 30th, 2014! Want in on these profits? Do just that by signing up here for Jack's 2014-15 College Football Season Pass for $349.95! With this package, you will receive every college football play he releases from today through the 2015 BCS National Championship!

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NCAA-B SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2014-15 College Hoops Season Pass!

THREE STRAIGHT Top-5 Finishes in College Basketball! (#5 2011-12, #5 2012-13, #3 2013-14) You can look, but you won't find another handicapper on this network that can claim that! Jack Jones is coming off his best college hoops season yet, and he's ready to top it this season! He enters the 2014-15 campaign riding a 399-308 CBB Run that has seen his $1,000/game players profit $67,030! A fourth straight Top-5 finish is in store this year, so sign up for Jack's 2014-15 College Hoops Season Pass for $499.95 so you don't miss out! You'll receive all of his college basketball picks through the NCAA Tournament!

No picks available.

BASKETBALL [NBA+NCAAB] SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2014-15 NBA & CBB Season Pass!

No. 1 Ranked Basketball Handicapper from 2012-13! Jack Jones came back with a No. 4 Hoops Finish in 2013-14! Heading into the 2014-15 campaign, Jack is riding an EPIC 842-668 Basketball Run that has seen his $1,000/game players profit a RIDICULOUS $124,380! Come bet with the best hoops handicapper on the planet by signing up for Jack's 2014-15 NBA & CBB Season Pass for $699.95! It would cost you roughly $1000 to buy his NBA ($499.95) and CBB ($499.95) season passes separately, so YOU SAVE $300.00 with this package! You'll win in pro and college hoops through the NBA Finals in June!

No picks available.

NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2014-15 NBA Season Pass! (#1 NBA 2012-13)

No. 1 Ranked NBA Handicapper from 2012-13! Jack Jones has been crushing the books on the pro hardwood for quite some time! Entering the 2014-15 campaign, he is riding a MASSIVE 856-729 NBA Run that has seen his $1,000/game players profit $70,070! Come bet with one of the best pro hoops cappers on the planet by signing up for Jack's 2014-15 NBA Season Pass for $499.95! This package will earn you all of his pro basketball releases through the NBA Finals in June!

No picks available.

FOOTBALL [NFL+NCAAF] SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 7-Day Football Pass!

With this package you will receive ALL NFL & COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS released by Jack Jones for a FULL 7 Days! Plus, you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next 7 days of NFL & CFB picks are ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 5 NFL picks

Jack Jones 30-Day Football Pass!

With this package you will receive ALL NFL & COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS released by Jack Jones for a FULL 30 Days! Plus, you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next 30 days of NFL & CFB picks are ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 5 NFL picks

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As of Tuesday, September 30th, Jack Jones has decided to LOWER THE PRICE BY $150.00 of his NFL + NCAAF football pass from $599.95 to $449.95! Sign up here for Jack's 2014-15 Football Season Pass for $449.95! It would cost you roughly $700 to buy his CFB ($349.95) and NFL ($349.95) passes separately, so you receive a $250.00 DISCOUNT by signing up for this combo package! You'll receive all of his pro and college football releases through the 2015 Super Bowl!

*This subscription includes 5 NFL picks

NFL SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 7-Day NFL Pass!

With this package you will receive ALL NFL PLAYS released by Jack Jones for a FULL 7 Days! Plus, you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next 7 days of NFL picks are ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 5 NFL picks

Jack Jones 30-Day NFL Pass!

With this package you will receive ALL NFL PLAYS released by Jack Jones for a FULL 30 Days! Plus, you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next 30 days of NFL picks are ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 5 NFL picks

Jack Jones 2014-15 NFL Season Pass!

As of Tuesday, September 30th, Jack Jones has decided to LOWER THE PRICE BY $100.00 of his NFL season pass from $449.95 to $349.95! Sign up here for Jack's 2014-15 NFL Season Pass for $349.95 and get your hands on huge profits the rest of the year! With this package, you will receive every NFL play Jack releases through the 2015 Super Bowl!

*This subscription includes 5 NFL picks

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 21, 2014
UTEP vs. Rice
UTEP
+7-112
  at  PINNACLE
Lost
$112.0
Play Type: Free

Jack's Free Pick Friday: UTEP +7

The UTEP Miners (6-4) have been playing their best football of the season coming into this one. They have gone 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall and continue to lack the respect they deserve from oddsmakers as 7-point underdogs this week. I believe there is value in backing them here in what is a pretty evenly-matched game between teams with identical records.

UTEP’s only loss during this stretch came as a 9-point underdog at Western Kentucky in a 27-35 road loss. It has beaten Old Dominion (42-35), Southern Miss (35-14) and North Texas (35-17) at home, while also topping UTSA (34-0) on the road during this stretch. So, it has not only been winning, it has been dominating.

Rice (6-4) is also playing very well having won six of its last seven. However, last week it suffered a crushing 14-41 loss at Marshall that will likely keep it from repeating as Conference USA champion after winning the title last year. That deflating loss will be tough to bounce back from emotionally, and the Owls likely won’t bring their best effort to the field Friday night because of it.

Common opponents are a great way to compare teams. Both UTEP and Rice have played the same four teams this season. UTEP is 4-0 against those four teams, outscoring them by an average of 20.0 points per game. Rice is 3-1 against those teams, outscoring them by 11.3 points per game. Common opponents would certainly tell you that UTEP is the better team in 2014 as it is outscoring them by 8.7 points per game more than Rice.

Plays against home favorites (RICE) – in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 or fewer turnovers/game committed), in conference games are 86-41 (67.7%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. UTEP is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 when playing against a marginal winning team (51% to 60%). The Miners are 8-2 ATS in all games this season. The Owls are 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet UTEP Friday.

No. 2 Ranked Overall Handicapper in 2014! Jack Jones and his $1,000/game players have profited $69,040 this year in all sports! He is coming off a 5-1 Thursday BEAT DOWN of the books to get back on track! He is riding 870-688 Basketball & 196-145 NCAAF Runs heading into tonight's action! This money train stays right on track with Jack's Friday 5-Play Power Pack for $49.95! By signing up, you'll receive 1 CBB, 1 NCAAF, & 3 NBA winners tonight! Leading the charge is his 20* Mountain West GAME OF THE WEEK on the college gridiron! Bet with confidence knowing you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Saturday's entire card is ON JACK!

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 21, 2014
Temple vs. Duke
Temple
+18½-105
  at  5DIMES
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

15* CBB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Temple +18.5

The Temple Owls are going to be one of the most improved teams in the country this season.  I believe that will certainly show tonight as they stay within this huge spread against the Duke Blue Devils in Coaches vs. Cancer Classic in Brooklyn, NY tonight.

Temple had a rare down year in 2013-14, going just 9-22.  Even with that poor season, head coach Fran Dunphy is 169-97 in his eight-plus year at Temple.  It was an aberration more than anything as the Owls missed the NCAA Tournament for just the second time in his eight seasons.

I really like the talent that's back on this Temple team for the 2014-15 season.  It returns three starters in G Will Cummings (16.8 ppg, 4.6 apg in 2013-14), G Quenton DeCosey (15.4 ppg, 3.9 rpg) and F/C Devontae Watson (2.5 ppg, 3.7 rpg).  They also get 6-7 sophomore Daniel Dngle (6.7 ppg, 2.3 rpg) back from a season-ending knee injury that cut his season short last year.

Temple is off to a 2-0 start this season with one poor performance and one great one.  The 40-37 win over American in the opener looks bad, but American did get to the NCAA Tournament by winning the Patriot League Tournament last year.  It is the favorite to win the Patriot League again in 2014-15 because it returns four starters and almost all of its key players from last year.  So, that win is not as bad as it looks.

The 82-75 win over Louisiana Tech as a 5-point dog last time out was mighty impressive.  Louisiana Tech went 29-8 last year and tied for first in Conference USA.  It brought back four starters from that 29-win team as well, so it is just as strong if not stronger this year.

Without question, Duke is one of the most talented teams in the country.  However, after opening the season 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS, I believe it is overvalued here as an 18.5-point favorite against Temple.  This is also a very tough spot for the Blue Devils emotionally.

They are coming off a huge 81-71 win over Michigan State on Tuesday.  I was on the Blue Devils as 7-point favorites in that game, and so was the betting public as they drove the line all the way up to 8. 

The betting public is all over them again heading into this one, which is why I believe there is value in fading them tonight.  I also think this is a letdown spot for the Blue Devils because they just beat a ranked Michigan State team last time out.

Temple is 7-0 ATS in road games vs. teams who are called for three-plus less fouls than their opponents over the last three seasons.  The Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games.  The Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Temple is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six non-conference games.  The Owls are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. ACC foes.  Six of the last seven meetings between these teams have been decided by 18 points or less.  Take Temple Friday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 21, 2014
San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
+8-105
  at  PINNACLE
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

15* NBA Friday Night Line Mistake on Minnesota Timberwolves +8

The San Antonio Spurs are in a massive letdown spot here.  They are coming off a huge 92-90 win at Cleveland on ESPN Wednesday night, and they aren't going to be able to muster up the kind of focus it's going to take to beat Minnesota by more than 8 points to cover this spread.

Also, look for Greg Popovich to limit his star players' minutes knowing that the Spurs have a game on deck tomorrow against the Nets.  The Spurs don't have much of a bench as it is as they are playing without Tiago Splitter and Patrick Mills, while both Matt Bonner and Marco Belinelli are questionable.

Yes, the Timberwolves are in a bit of a rebuilding phase, and they are off to a poor 3-7 start this season.  They are also battling injuries of their own right now.  Ricky Rubio (ankle), Nikola Pekovic (wrist) and Thaddeus Young (personal) are all expected to be unavailable Friday.

However, scheduling has been the biggest reason for the Timberwolves' poor start.  They have played seven of their first 10 games on the road.  In their three home games, they have gone 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS with their only loss coming to the Bulls (105-106) by a single point.

Despite being without Rubio, Young and Pekovic, the Timberwolves put together their most impressive performance of the season in a 115-99 win over the Knicks on Wednesday.  Kevin Martin scored 37 points, Mo Williams had 14 points and 13 assists, and Shabazz Muhammad added 17 points and eight boards in the win.  This is one of the deepest teams in the NBA so they can survive with some injuries.

Minnesota has played San Antonio very tough recently.  In fact, it is 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five meetings with the Spurs.  It won 110-91 as a 7.5-point home dog late last year, 108-95 on the road in 2013, and 107-83 at home in 2013 as well.  It has covered the spread in all four games it was a dog of 7.5 points or more against the Spurs during this stretch.

The Timberwolves are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five home meetings with the Spurs.  The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.  Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last five games following an ATS win.  Bet the Timberwolves Friday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 21, 2014
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Washington Wizards
Cleveland Cavaliers
-1½-103
  at  5DIMES
Lost
$103.0
Play Type: Premium

15* Cavaliers/Wizards ESPN Friday No-Brainer on Cleveland -1.5

Off back-to-back losses, including a painful 90-92 loss to the defending champion San Antonio Spurs, the Cleveland Cavaliers will be very hungry for a victory Friday.  I look for them to roll over the Washington Wizards in blowout fashion as they take their frustration out on John Wall and company.

I have no doubt that Cleveland is still one of the best teams in the league despite its mediocre 5-5 start.  It ranks 5th in the league in offensive efficiency, scoring 108.1 points per 100 possessions.  It will be up at No. 1 in the league in this category by season's end.

I am also certainly that Washington is overvalued in the early going thanks to making the playoffs last year and its 7-3 start this season.  However, a closer look shows that the Wizards have been feasting on an easy schedule. 

Their three losses have come to the Heat, Raptors and Mavericks, which are the three best teams that they have faced.  Their seven wins have come against the likes of the Magic (twice), Bucks, Knicks, Pacers (twice) and Pistons.  They have yet to beat a team of any significance.

The road team won all four meetings between these teams last year, and the Cavaliers have actually won five of their last seven meetings with the Wizards.  What is most impressive about that is the fact that they didn't have Lebron James OR Kevin Love for any of those seven games.  Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last five visits to Washington.  Roll with the Cavaliers Friday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 21, 2014
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Toronto Raptors
Milwaukee Bucks
+9-105
  at  5DIMES
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Top Premium

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Milwaukee Bucks +9

The Toronto Raptors are a team that I have a lot of respect for and one that I have backed quite a bit in the early going.  However, after a 9-2 start straight up accompanied by a 7-4 ATS mark, this team is now overvalued and worth fading tonight.

The biggest reason I'm going to fade the Raptors tonight is because this is an extremely difficult spot for them emotionally.  They are coming off a 96-92 home win over the top team in the West in Memphis, and now they will be looking ahead to Saturday's game at Cleveland against Lebron James and company.  So, this is a letdown AND lookahead spot for the Raptors.

They won't be giving the kind of attention to the Bucks that they deserve.  Milwaukee is one of the most improved teams in the NBA this season, yet it continues to get no respect from oddsmakers.  It has gone 7-5 straight up and a sensational 9-3 ATS in its 12 games this season.

Even the losses have been competitive as the Bucks have only lost twice all season by double-digits, which is what it would take for them to fail to cover the spread Friday, and I just don't see it happening.  They have won five of their last six, which includes road wins at Miami (91-84) and Brooklyn (122-118).

What I like about this Bucks team is that they defend, and they get that from their head coach Jason Kidd.  They have extraordinary length at almost all positions, and they are giving up just 96.4 points per game on 43.5% shooting.  They rank 4th in the league in defensive efficiency, allowing 97.7 points per 100 possessions.  Only the Rockets, Warriors and Spurs have been better.

Plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - good defensive team (41.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) are 43-14 (75.4%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Plays against home teams (TORONTO) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 105 points or more are 29-8 (78.4%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Bucks are 12-4-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings in this series, and 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight visits to Toronto.  Take the Bucks Friday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 21, 2014
Air Force vs. San Diego State
Air Force
+6-104
  at  PINNACLE
Lost
$104.0
Play Type: Top Premium

20* Mountain West GAME OF THE WEEK on Air Force +6

The Air Force Falcons (8-2) have been the surprise of the Mountain West Conference this season. They have won eight games and are right in the thick of the Mountain Division title race. I expect them to continue their solid play in Week 13 as they visit the San Diego Aztecs (5-5), who aren’t nearly as strong as they have been in year’s past.

Air Force has beaten the likes of Boise State, Navy and Nevada this season, so its 8-2 record is no fluke. Its only losses have come on the road at Wyoming and at Utah State, which are two solid football teams. Only once all season has this team lost by more than four points, which came in a 16-34 setback at Utah State on October 11th in a game that was much closer than the final score would indicate. The Falcons were only outgained by nine yards in that contest.

Air Force boasts an explosive offense this season that is putting up 33.0 points and 437.6 yards per game. Once again, the ground game has been its bread and butter, averaging 288 rushing yards per game and 4.6 per carry. However, the difference this season has been the threat of a passing game.

The Falcons are completing 61.0% of their passes and averaging 9.7 yards per attempt. They continually get big plays in the the passing game because opponents sell out to stop the run.  Kale Pearson has taken advantage, throwing for 1,342 yards and 13 touchdowns against two interceptions, which are impressive numbers for a quarterback in the triple-option.

The Falcons are also improved on the other side of the ball, allowing just 23.6 points and 379.9 yards per game. They should be able to hold an SDSU offense in check that has been terrible all year. The Aztecs are only averaging 24.1 points and 387.2 yards per game against opposing defenses that are allowing 33.6 points and 452 yards per game. They are being held to 9.5 points and 65 yards per game below their opponents’ season averages on the season.

San Diego State has not beaten anybody of any relevance. Its five wins have come against the likes of Idaho, Hawaii, New Mexico, UNLV and Northern Arizona. This could be a big hangover spot for the Aztecs, who fought tough last week but lost 29-38 at Boise State. It’s going to be hard for them to get back up off the mat after a loss to arguably the best team in the Mountain West.

Also, this short week is going to be hard on the Aztecs.  The triple-option is very difficult to prepare for, and that is amplified when a team doesn't have a full week or more to prepare.  The Falcons should be able to have plenty of success on offense against this unprepared SDSU defense.  I look for the Aztecs to miss a lot of assignments, and defenses have no chance against the triple-option when they aren't assignment-sound.

Common opponents are a great way to compare teams. Both Air Force and San Diego State have faced the same four teams. Air Force is 4-0 against those teams, outscoring them by an average of 13.0 points per game. San Diego State is just 2-2 against those teams, outscoring them by just 0.5 points per game.  By those numbers alone, it shows that Air Force is essentially 12.5 points better than San Diego State.

This is a huge revenge game for the Falcons as well.  They have lost each of their last four meetings with the Aztecs, including a tough 20-27 home loss last year when they simply weren't that good.  They also lost 9-28 in 2012 despite outgaining the Aztecs 393-268, 27-41 in 2012 while outgaining them 419-410, and 25-27 in 2010 while outgaining them 487-456.  Not only do I expect the Falcons to dominate the box score stats again, I also expect them to come away with the victory this time around, but I'll take the points for some added insurance.

Plays on a road team (AIR FORCE) – after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season are 142-86 (62.3%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Falcons are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games after covering the spread in four or five of their last six games coming in. The Aztecs are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. San Diego State is 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight games overall.  Bet Air Force Friday.

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 22, 2014
Sacramento Kings vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Total
211 un-110
  
Play Type: Premium

15* NBA Western Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Kings/Timberwolves UNDER 211

The books have set the bar too high in this contest between the Sacramento Kings and Minnesota Timberwolves.  If this was last year, this total would be justified, but these are two completely different teams from last year.

Minnesota no longer has Kevin Love, and it is battling all kinds of injury issues right now.  It is without each of its top three scorers in Kevin Martin (20.4 ppg), Thaddeus Young (14.3 ppg) and Nikola Pekovic (11.9 ppg) due to injuries or personal issues right now. They are also without starting PG Ricky Rubio right now, which has hurt their offense.

Points were certainly hard to come by for the Timberwolves in their first game without all three of these guys last night.  The Timberwolves managed just 92 points on 41.1% shooting against the San Antonio Spurs Friday.

Sacramento lost point guard Isaiah Thomas this offseason, but it has actually been better without him.  It is off to a solid 7-5 start this season.  The biggest reason is its improvement on defense as it is giving up just 100.8 points per game and 43.8% shooting.

The Kings actually rank in the top half of the league (13th) in defensive efficiency this year, giving up 103.1 points per 100 possessions.  The Timberwolves are a better defensive team without Martin and Pekovic, who are liabilities on that end.  So, their defensive numbers should improve going forward.

The Kings & Timberwolves have combined for 209 or fewer points in each of their last three meetings, and six of their last seven meetings overall.  That says a lot because the Timberwolves were a much better offensive team with Kevin Love and a healthy Rubio, Pekovic and Martin.

Plays on the UNDER on any team (SACRAMENTO) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 3 straight games are 58-25 (69.9%) over the last five seasons.  Minnesota is 20-7 to the UNDER in its last 27 home games after having lost five or six of its last seven games.  Sacramento is 17-4 to the UNDER in its last 21 off four straight games where it forced opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 22, 2014
Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Total
208½ un-105
  
Play Type: Premium

15* NBA Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Raptors/Cavaliers UNDER 208.5

This is a matchup between two of the best teams in the Eastern Conference.  I fully expect a defensive battle as the Toronto Raptors travel to face the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight.

Both teams rank right in the middle of the pack in pace.  Toronto is 13th with 95.9 possessions per game, while Cleveland is 17th at 95.4 possessions per game.  Neither of these teams really like to get up and down as they prefer to run their offense in the half court.

Toronto is combining with its opponents to average 201.6 points per game this season.  Cleveland is combining with its foes to average 204.5 points per game on the year.  Those two numbers alone show you that there is a ton of value in backing this UNDER tonight.

The Cavaliers are averaging just 88.3 points per game during their current three-game losing streak.  Their defense has been better as they have held three of their last four opponents to 94 or fewer points.  All three of them were good offensive teams in Atlanta, San Antonio and Washington as well.

Toronto and Cleveland have combined for 202 or fewer points in each of their last six meetings, including 196 or less in five of those.  Dating back further, they have combined for 202 or fewer in 11 of their last 12 games as well.  That makes for an 11-1 system backing the UNDER pertaining to tonight's total set of 208.5.  Take the UNDER in this game Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 22, 2014
USC vs. UCLA
USC
+4-109
  
Play Type: Premium

15* USC/UCLA ABC Saturday No-Brainer on USC +4

In a game that I fully expect to go right down to the wire, I’ll be taking the USC Trojans as 4-point underdogs over the Bruins. This game could easily be decided by a field goal either way, so I believe there is some value in taking the dog here. The Trojans want revenge from their last two losses to the Bruins. After all, they had won 12 of 13 meetings prior to those two losses.

USC (7-3) has yet to be blown out this season and really could be 10-0 right now. Its three losses have come to Utah (21-24), Arizona State (34-38) and Boston College (31-37) by a combined 13 points. It has gone on the road and beaten Arizona (28-26) and Stanford (13-10), so it has proven it can play well away from home against some of the top competition in the Pac-12.

UCLA may be the most overrated team in the country as it is nowhere near as good as its 8-2 record would indicate. Five of its eight wins have come by eight points or less. Both of its losses have actually come at home this season to the likes of Utah and Oregon. This is a team that is getting a little more respect than it deserves due to its four-game winning streak coming in, two of which came against Colorado and California by a combined five points.

The Trojans are the better defensive team in this one. They are only giving up 23.3 points and 399.2 yards per game this season against opponents that average 31.3 points and 440 yards per game. The Bruins are allowing 27.9 points and 410.0 yards per game against opponents that are averaging 33.4 points and 436 yards per game. 

USC may have as much NFL talent on both sides of the ball combined as any team in the country.  They tend to dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides as they have a plus-two sack differential on the year.  UCLA, meanwhile, is minus-11 in sack differential on offense and defense.  I look for the Trojans winning the line of scrimmage to be the key in their upset bid this weekend.

Cody Kessler is one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the country and doesn’t get enough credit for the job he does with this USC offense, which is putting up 35.2 points per game on the season. Kessler is completing 70.2 percent of his passes for 2,919 yards and a sensational 29-to-3 touchdown to interception ratio. Javorius Allen is a beast, rushing for 1,184 yards and eight touchdowns. Nelson Agholor has 82 receptions for 1,079 yards and 10 scores on the season.

UCLA is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games following two consecutive covers as a favorite. The Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. The Bruins are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. UCLA is 3-7 ATS in all games this season.  The top six teams in the Pac-12, including USC, have a combined conference road record of 19-4.  Bet USC Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 22, 2014
Missouri vs. Tennessee
Tennessee
-3½-110
  
Play Type: Top Premium

20* SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Tennessee -3.5

The Tennessee Volunteers (5-5) were one of the youngest teams in college football coming into the season.  They were also one of the most talented with the recruits that Butch Jones has been stockpiling over the last two years.  Well, that talent is growing up in a hurry, and the Volunteers are arguably the most improved team in the country from the first half to the second half.

They have played one of the toughest schedules in the land as they have had to play four current top-15 teams with three of those on the road.  Yet, they are still outscoring the opposition by an average of 5 points per game.  They have now won their last two games impressively with a 45-42 (OT) win at South Carolina and a 50-16 beat down at home against Kentucky.

The biggest reason for the turnaround by Tennessee has been the insertion of Josh Dobbs at quarterback.  He is completing 62% of his passes with a 7-to-2 touchdown to interception ratio while averaging 8.0 yards per attempt.  He has also rushed for 259 yards and four touchdowns, so he's much more of a dual-threat than Justin Worley was.  He led this Tennessee offense to 20 points against Alabama, 45 against South Carolina and 50 against Kentucky in his three starts.

The Vols now have an offense that can complement their defense, which is sensational.  The Vols rank 39th in the country in total defense, giving up 24.1 points and 363.7 yards per game.  They are 4-2 at home this season and giving up just 16.0 points and 389.8 yards per game at home.  That includes a minuscule 4.4 yards per play at home.

Missouri has played a much, much weaker schedule than Tennessee up to this point.  I would argue that the Tigers are the single-most overrated team in the entire country, or at least right up there in the top five due to their laughable 8-2 record.  They hold that record despite only outgaining teams by an average of 14.7 yards per game on the season.

I just do not trust this Missouri offense to do anything against this Tennessee defense.  The Tigers rank 107th in the country in total offense at 355.8 yards per game.  Maty Mauk just isn't a very good quarterback.  He is completing a woeful 53.1 percent of his passes while averaging just 6.1 yards per attempt on the season.

Common opponents are a great way to compare teams.  Both Missouri and Tennessee have faced the same four opponents in Florida, Georgia, Kentucky and South Carolina.  Tennessee is outgaining those opponents by 58 yards per game, while Missouri is getting outgained by those same opponents by 92 yards per game.  Keep in mind that Dobbs did not play in either the Florida or the Georgia game, too.

Plays on home favorites (TENNESSEE) - after gaining 575 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games, with 5 defensive starters returning are 26-5 (83.9%) ATS over the last 10 seasons.  The Vols put up 645 yards on South Carolina and 511 yards on Kentucky with Dobbs at the helm.  He comes through with another strong performance this weekend in a blowout win over the Tigers.  Roll with Tennessee Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 22, 2014
Miami (Fla) vs. Virginia
Virginia
+6-106
  
Play Type: Top Premium

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Virginia +6

The Miami Hurricanes are in a massive hangover spot here form their 26-30 loss to Florida State last weekend.  That loss eliminated them from Coastal Division Title contention, and now they will fall flat on their faces this week against the Virginia Cavaliers.

Virginia is fresh off a bye and needs to win its final two games to get bowl eligible.  So, not only will the Hurricanes come out flat in this game, they'll also be running into a fresh Cavaliers team that is hungry to play in the postseason.  That's not a good combination for Miami backers this week.  Plus, the Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a bye week.

The Cavaliers have shown me enough to know that they are better than their 4-6 record would indicate, especially at home.  Earlier this year they nearly upset a top-10 UCLA team, but lost 20-28 due to the Bruins getting three defensive touchdowns.  They did upset top-25 Louisville 23-21.

Virginia has won three of its past four meetings with Miami, and there have been six upsets in the past 10 years in the series.  Last year when these two played, Virginia had a 28-11 first-down edge on the road, and this year's version of the Cavaliers is much better.  They did lose that game 26-45 last year, but it was a complete fluke as they outgained the Hurricanes 483-304 for the game.

Miami has not been nearly as good on the road as it has been at home.  It is just 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS with all three of its losses coming by double-digits to Georgia Tech (17-28), Nebraska (31-41) and Louisville (13-31).  It has no business laying points on the road to Virginia with those kinds of results.

I love this matchup for Virginia because its strength is stopping the run while Miami's strength is running the football.  The Hurricanes are averaging 197 rushing yards per game and 5.5 per carry behind Duke Johnson.  Virginia is only giving up 119 rushing yards per game and 3.2 per carry against opposing offenses that average 174 yards per game and 4.5 per carry.

Plays against road favorites (MIAMI) - excellent offensive team (440-Plus YPG) against an average offensive team (330 to 390 YPG), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 26-6 (81.2%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Miami is 1-9 ATS after gaining 6.25 or more yards per play in four consecutive games since 1992.  Bet Virginia Saturday.

SERVICE BIO

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