Each day of the season our top expert handicapping services offer their free bets on tonight’s games. They also include insights and analysis to help explain why they recommend the point spread bets that they do. If you want to beat the gambling lines and cash more of your wagers this year, then I recommend following the hot takes and wagering advice of the tipsters below.
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NBA Free Betting Picks & Odds Predictions
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Los Angeles Lakers +10
I believe the Oklahoma City Thunder are getting too much respect from the books after they traded to get Taj Gibson and Doug McDermott yesterday. But for now, they'll be short-handed for this game against the Lakers. They won't have their chemistry in their first game back from the All-Star Break. The Lakers are as healthy as they have been all season and should come out of the break being covering machines, just like they were when they started the season. That return to health has led to a 7-3 ATS run over their last 10 games. This number is simply too big tonight.
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10* Suns/Bulls NBA Free Pick
Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival. This system is 33-11 (75%) against the spread since 1996. BET THE BULLS!
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Dave's Friday Free Play:
1* on Atlanta Hawks -4
The Key: The Miami Heat won 14 of their final 16 games before the All-Star Break. Now the betting public has taken notice and this team is clearly overvalued now. The break was the last thing that the Heat needed as they had all that momentum, but now having a week off can only hurt them. The Atlanta Hawks lost 3 of their last 5 games before the break and aren't getting any love now. I strongly believe this line is shorter than it should be as the Hawks are clearly the superior team and should be favored by more than 4 at home. The Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. The Hawks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss. Take Atlanta.
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If the Raptors are serious about winning the Atlantic Division - and they indeed are trading for Serge Ibaka and PJ Tucker - they need to win this home game. Toronto trails Boston by four games in the division. It's a crucial matchup for the Raptors. All-Star break came at a good time for the Raptors, who were reeling with 11 losses in their last 16 games. The team was tired with stars DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowery overworked and defense lacking. Ibaka, Tucker and the return of power forward Patrick Patterson from a knee injury should shore up the defense. Ibaka will make his Toronto debut, but has been on the team for the last 10 days. Tucker is questionable after being acquired on Thursday. Boston is 11-2 in its last 13 games. The Celtics stood pat at the trade deadline even though there were rumors Paul George and Jimmy Butler were available. It would have been a huge morale boost for Boston to have acquired one of those stars. But the Celtics, despite an abundance of draft choices, stood pat. Celtics management must think their team is better than the Cavaliers. The Celtics aren't. I don't think the Celtics are even better than the Raptors. Toronto has won six of the past seven meetings during the past two seasons, including the last one played in Toronto, 114-106 on Jan. 10 with DeRozan scoring 41 points. The Raptors were 5 1/2-point favorites in that one. This line is less. DeRozan and Lowery are going to get their points against defensively-challenged Isaiah Thomas. Now the Raptors have a big rebounding edge on Boston with Ibaka. They should play with a tremendous sense of urgency. The Raptors are 14-6-1 ATS the past 21 times hosting foes that have a winning road record. The Celtics need Avery Bradley to help slow down DeRozan and Lowery. Bradley has missed 20 of the last 21 games due to an Achilles injury. Bradley is not expected to play today. Certainly it's debatable if the Raptors are better than the Celtics. But what should be for sure is the Raptors need this game more, should be highly motivated and have improved at the trade deadline while Boston didn't. I want the Raptors going for me here.
(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is 12-4 on his last 16 premium/free NBA plays and is coming off a 7-1 Thursday. Don't miss any of his plays, including his NBA Thursday Top Ticket.)
The Williams/Brewer trade isn't about to make the Lakers any better. Not anytime soon, at least. A 36-point loss at Phoenix, prior to the break, dropped LA to 7-25 on the road. Meanwhile, the Thunder are off an 11-point win against the Knicks. That brought them to 20-8 at home. All signs point to another double-digit win here. Consider OKC.
1* Free Play on 76ers +7½ -110
10* Free NBA Pick (Jazz -3)
I know that Utah isn't a great road team, but I just feel there's too much value here with the Jazz laying a short number against the Bucks. Utah limped into the All-Star break, which I actually like, as it should have them motivated to come out strong in the first game back. The Jazz are also finally healthy with all their major pieces in play. If not for injuries I think this team would be viewed a lot different. I just see a big gap here in talent between them and the Bucks. Sure Milwaukee won 3 straight before the break, but it came against the Pacers, Pistons and Nets, which isn't anything to get excited about. Prior to that they had gone just 2-12 in their previous 14 games. Note that the Bucks are a mere 3-13 ATS over the last 3 seasons after 3 or more consecutive wins. Give me the Jazz -3!
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Free Pick on Raptors -
I really like the value here with Toronto as a short home favorite against the Celtics. The Raptors went just 5-11 over their final 16 games before the All-Star break and I believe it has them way undervalued at home against Boston. Injuries played a big part in their struggles. Not only is Toronto healthy, but they will be adding in newly acquired Serge Ibaka, who will help them out on both sides of the ball.
The Raptors have taken 2 of the first 3 games against the Celtics this season, but did just recently lose at Boston 104-109. The Celtics needed a 32-19 4th quarter to secure the win and it came with Toronto playing without their best player in DeMar DeRozan. This is a statement game for the Raptors coming out of the break and I like their chances of delivering at home against a division rival. Raptors are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 home games against a team with a winning road record and 20-6 ATS in their last 26 against division opponents. Take Toronto!
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Jack's Free Pick Friday: Brooklyn Nets +9.5
The Denver Nuggets are starting to be overvalued due to their current standing as the No. 8 seed in the West. They lost 99-112 at home to Minnesota as 6.5-point favorites in their final game before the break, and they came out of the break with a lackluster 100-116 road loss to Sacramento as 6.5-point favorites.
I think the Brooklyn Nets come out of the All Star Break undervalued due to an NBA-high 14-game losing streak. However, it's not like the Nets haven't been competitive, losing 11 of their last 12 games by single-digits. Each of their last nine losses have come by single-digits as well, and I think that streak continues here Friday.
The Nuggets clearly haven't taken the Nets seriously in recent meetings. In fact, the Nets are a perfect 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings with the Nuggets. They've won each of the last three meetings outright as underdogs, including a 116-111 home victory over the Nuggets as 4.5-point dogs in their first matchup this season.
Brooklyn is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 road games when playing with 3 or more days of rest. Denver is 1-10 ATS in home games when playing the 2nd of a back-to-back over the last three seasons. The Nuggets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on 0 days' rest. Bet the Nets Friday.
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Basketball Score Projections & Computer TipsA lot of people have been turning to computers and the score predictions their models shoot out. While those can be helpful, it still takes a professional's ability to factor in the intangibles like injuries, rotations, and the schedule. A computer doesn't know the motiviations of the players taking the court, but a lot of times a tipster will be able to figure those out.
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