Wills Free NBA Pick on Nuggets at Bobcats

December 8, 2009

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For one of the free NBA picks on our site tonight, Will is taking the Bobcats +3.5: I’m going with the Bobcats here as they are 21-10 in their last 31 ATS at home. This will be Denver’s 3rd road game in 4 nights and although they are averaging 107.7 ppg in their last three road games it was against an average scoring defense ranked 19th overall (PHI, SA, MIN). Tonight they will go up against #1 ranked defense in the Charlotte Bobcats. Denver’s game last night against the 76ers was not as bad as indicated. Although they won by 10 and covered the spread they were down by 2 going into the 4th and then out scored them 30-18 in the final period. The hustle and effort it took to do that is going to impact them here tonight against a team that loves to play defense. Even the 76ers out rebounded the Nuggets and the Bobcats should have the advantage on this one as well as they are +1.7 rebound margin at home and Denver is -2.2 rebound margin. Charlotte is also 22-7 in their last 29 following a straight up win. Also note that Charlotte already beat Cleveland and Atlanta at home as underdogs. Take the points here tonight with the public all over the Nuggets and the spread moving in reverse order.

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