Thunder at Nuggets NBA Picks

December 15, 2009

Bet at 5dimes

It’s the Oklahoma City Thunder visiting the Denver Nuggets on December, 15th 2009 at 9 PM EST.  The early NBA point spreads show that the Nuggets are hefty 9.5 point favorites with the total currently set at 209.  If you are looking for a great book to get in on the action, then take a look at BetUS, where our readers get a $500 match bonus on their initial deposit!

Analysis: Surprisingly, Oklahoma City has had terrific success against the Nuggets ATS. The Thunder is 5 and 0 ATS versus Denver the last 5 times the two teams have met. The Thunder is also 5 and 0 against the spread in their the last 5 games following a straight-up loss of 10 points or more.  Those are two powerful trends. One trend, though, that might sway bettors is the fact that Oklahoma City is just 1 and 4 ATS against teams with a winning percentage above 60%.

That could be a difficult trend for the Thunder to overcome because the Nuggets have lost 3 games in a row ATS, a trend not likely to continue as Denver is 7 and 4 against the spread at home. Denver has the #1 ranked offense in the league averaging over 108 points per game.

Oklahoma City is averaging 97 points per game, coming off of a tough loss to Cleveland, and facing the well rested Nuggets on their home court.

But the trends are all over the place win wise in this game. Perhaps, it would make more sense for bettors to look to bet on the total in this game.

The Over is 7 and 0 in Oklahoma City’s last 7 games versus a team with a winning straight-up record. The Over is 4 and 1 in the Denver Nuggets last 5 games versus a team with a winning straight-up record. The Over is 20 and 7 in the last 27 meetings between these two teams.

Denver allows 101.6 points per game and teams shoot, on average 45% against them. Durant and Jeff Green for the Thunder should be able to put up a lot of points against Denver’s defense while Denver will score at will.

The bet is on the over in this game.  So with one of our free NBA picks for today, play the OVER 209.

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