Jack’s Nuggets at Bobcats Pick

December 9, 2009

BetOnline

Jack Jones has been on fire with his NBA picks this season and was on his game again last night.  He took a look at the NBA point spreads and found one game that really stood out, and it was his 15* NBA Side of the Night on Charlotte Bobcats +3.5.  Read why he was on Charlotte here:

The Nuggets are 7-4 on the road this year, but they have played teams that are getting beat by an average of 3 ppg, and when you break down the point scored, points against splits (102.9 for against teams giving up 100.4 and 99.8 allowed against scoring 97.5), means they are sitting right around an average team on the road.

The Bobcats are 7-3 in front of their home crowd, but have been what I would say is a fairly average team there (scoring 89.4 ppg against teams allowing 97.8 and allowing 90.4 against teams scoring 97.7), so the 3.5 points is generous.

Denver is coming off a win in San Antonio, then a win last night in Philadelphia against former teammate Allen Iverson.  In two days they head up to Detroit where Billups came from, so having a non-conference opponent smashed in between spells letdown.

Great system supporting us here on this one that says to play on home teams with a losing record where the line is +3 to -3 after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games.  This team has gone 45-16 (74%) over the last 5 seasons WITHOUT EVEN NEEDING THE POINTS!

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