NBA Picks: Heat v. Lakers

December 5, 2009

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One of the late games for December 4th tips off at 10:30 PM EST when Dwayne Wade and the Heat visit Kobe Bryant and his Los Angeles Lakers. The NBA point spreads are out and show the Lake Show as a 12-point chalk, with the over/under set at 199. If you are going to be doing any betting on this game or others, then make sure you take a look at the $500 in match bonus money offered to our readers by BetUS!

The Los Angeles Lakers (14-3 SU, 8-9 ATS, 9-7-1 O/U) are on fire basketball betting enthusiasts, having won seven straight games coming into tonight’s contest and have the undeniable look of a team that is on a mission to get back to the NBA Finals this season.

Tonight, the Lakers will host a Miami Heat (10-8 SU, 8-10 ATS, 8-10 O/U) team that has mostly played above its talent level this season, but will be looking to bounce back from an emphatic pounding in their last contest.

The Heat were handed a 114-96 smackdown by the Denver Nuggets on Thursday, failing to cover the NBA point spread as a 9-point road underdog in the rout.

Dwyane Wade scored a team-high 25 points and added 10 rebounds for a double-double in the loss, but got almost no help from his teammates as only second-year forward Michael Beasley reached double figures in scoring with 17 points.

The pair shot a dismal 15-for-39 from the field while the Heat allowed six Denver players to reach double figures in scoring while shooting a scorching 9-for-17 from three-point distance.

Miami has gone a discouraging 1-3 ATS over its last four games and a pitiful 2-8 ATS over its last 10 games overall.

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The Lakers man-handled the New Orleans Hornets on Tuesday night, winning 110-99 but narrowly failing to cover the NBA point spread as 14.5-point home favorites.

Young center Andrew Bynum scored a team-high 21 points to lead five L.A. players in double figures in scoring.

The Lakers have covered the spread in three of its last five while going 6-4 ATS over its last 10 games overall.

* Heat are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.
* Lakers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
* Lakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.
* Heat are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.
* Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
* Underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Analysis: Let’s keep it real here for a minutes Pro basketball bettors and admit that the Heat have absolutely no chance whatsoever of cover the spread tonight, making this ATS pick only a matter of whether the Lakers will cover the big point spread.

The Lakers have won their last seven games by an average of 16.7 points per contest and I like them to put a hurting on the mediocre Heat in this contest tonight.

Miami has historically struggled when playing in Los Angeles, going an uninspiring 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in L.A. while the Lakers have gone a blistering 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.

The Lakers have also gone an impressive 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite and are getting even more team contributions with Pau Gasol getting back to full health, the lightning-fast Jordan Farmar blossoming and Andrew Bynum starting to really assert himself offensively and on the glass.

Heck, you know things are going good when Adam Morrison starts contributing on a regular basis despite being one of the league’s biggest draft busts in recent memory.

Take the Lakers to win this game and narrowly cover the NBA moneyline as they double-team D-Wade and force Miami’s group of lesser players to try and beat them.

With his free NBA picks for tonight, Eric Williams is laying the 12 points and taking the Lakers. If you want to win more of your wagers this season, then maybe it’s time you considered signing up for a long-term subscription of NBA picks offered by one of the experts here at the site. They spend hours each day pouring over the matchups, so you only get the best bets on the board.

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