Free NBA Picks 11/8/2008
November 8, 2008
Basketball usually takes a backseat to College Football on Saturday’s, but sometimes it’s the best day of the week to find some great value plays. For today we’ve got just one free pick from one of our top handicappers, Mikey Sports, but we also want to give you a taste of what you missed out on last night with our #1 Ranked NBA Handicapper, Ben Burns last night as he went 2-0. Here are Ben’s NBA plays from last night:
I’m playing on Memphis and Golden State to finish OVER the total. I successfully play on these same two teams to finish ‘under’ the total just a few nights ago. The final score stayed below the number by 30+ points as Memphis won by a score of 90-79. That result has helped us tonight. For starters, tonight’s over/under line is now several points lower, giving us plenty of additional line value. Additionally, the revenge-minded Warriors will be sure not to take the Grizzlies for granted here and will look to run them right out of the building. Note that Golden State has seen the OVER go a highly profitable 56-29-1 (66%) the last 86 times that it was facing an opponent which defeated them in the previous meeting. Monday’s game was at Memphis, where the Grizzlies were able to dictate the tempo. Tonight’s game is in Oakland where the Warriors will be able to push the pace. While the Grizzlies have played well defensively so far, it should be mentioned that they gave up 100 points at Sacramento last time out. Note that the Warriors are a lot more dangerous offensively than the current version of the Kings. Looking at Golden State’s last 20 home games and we find that ALL 20 of them produced a minimum of 204 combined points. The last four visits by the Grizzlies have seen combined scores of 217, 220, 239 and 233. Look for them to eclipse the 200 mark again tonight. *Annihilator
I’m taking the points with NEW JERSEY. Adding Allen Iverson certainly makes the Pistons more dangerous offensively. However, they were already playing very well and the change in chemistry may take some getting used to. Even Iverson acknowledged: “It’s definitely going to be a work in progress. I’d be lying if I said the chemistry will be there right off the top.” Additionally, there’s often a bit of “standing around and watching” when a new superstar joins the team. Regardless of whether or not that proves to be the case, I feel this line is too high. The Pistons are coming off an “upset” win at Toronto and they typically aren’t very profitable in that situation. In fact, they were just 5-14 ATS the past two seasons when coming off a SU win as an underdog. While they’ve had some trouble with the Pistons recently, the Nets are still a healthy 26-16 ATS their last 42 games against the Central. Still searching for their first home win of the season, I look for them to give a huge effort here, earning at least the cover. *Best Bet
Our free play is from Mikey Sports today. Mikey is on the Phoenix Suns -6 over the Milwaukee Bucks, but at this time has not given his analysis for the pick.
Have a great day today! Good luck!
If you liked this article, you may also be interested in: