Fargo’s Raptors at Wizards Picks
December 4, 2009
One of the best NBA handicappers in the business if you are looking for top plays is Matt Fargo. Right now, he is 105-74 with is last 179 NBA picks when you look at his Best Bets, as he proves once again that when it comes to beating the NBA point spreads, there really isn’t too many in the business that can compete with his long-term success. If you have been struggling to win with your NBA betting, then consider signing up for one of his packages he has for sale. If you are looking for a great place to get your action in, then take a look at the $100 match bonus offered to our readers by Bodog. Let’s take a look at his easy winner last night:
Toronto is playing horrible right now as it is mired in a dreadful five-game losing streak but this is the time to buy as when a team is down, we get them at a good price as well as getting a likely solid effort. These two teams just played in Toronto two games back and Washington walked out with a four-point win as seven-point underdogs. Based on that line, just three nights ago, coming home for the rematch should make Washington a one-point favorite based on the line switch due to the venue change. Obviously, the linesmakers are not thinking that way and have upped the number giving us additional value here. During this losing streak, Toronto is playing the worst it has all season as it has been outshot by 8.7 percent from the floor while getting outscored by 20.4 ppg. Making matter worse, the Raptor are on a six-game losing skid away from home with the last five coming by an average of 22 ppg. Washington is playing better as it has won four of its last five games. It snuck one out on Wednesday, much to my dismay as it was unable to cover the spread by a point, to even its record at 4-4 at home. There are still problems on this team which we saw again the other night and it all comes down to team chemistry as there is still some issues going on with players not getting a lot of time together yet. Washington has been horrible in the role of favorite as it is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games when laying points and it is 0-4 ATS in its last four home games against teams with a losing road record. The road team has won the last five meetings in this series and covering all of those as well and it is revenge time for the Raptors who also fall into a solid situation. Play on road teams that are averaging 103 or more ppg on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) over the last five seasons. The public will no doubt be fading the Raptors especially coming off the 31-point loss against the Hawks but this is the time to ride.
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