Fargo’s Grizzlies at Blazers Picks
November 27, 2009
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I feel this is a very good spot for Memphis despite the differential of the home and road records for these two teams. The Grizzlies are coming off a loss in their last game at Phoenix which dropped them to 1-7 away from home on the season. Prior to the Phoenix loss they had won four of their previous five games including a victory at Philadelphia in the only road game during that stretch so they have definitely been playing better of late after a very slow start to the season. They have dropped eight straight in this series including a home loss against the Blazers just over two weeks ago by 14 points. Portland is 7-2 at home this season including three straight wins during this homestand, all coming by double-digits. A fourth is what everyone is thinking here but this is not a good spot for the Blazers as they travel to play Utah tomorrow night so this is a definite lookahead spot. This is obviously a very contrarian play and it is backed up by a very contrarian situation. Play on underdogs that are allowing 48 percent shooting or worse on the season going up against an opponent that has gone two straight games of shooting 50 percent or better. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1996 with the average point differential being just -4.4 ppg.
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