Fargo’s Celtics at Wizards Picks

December 10, 2009

Bet at 5dimes

Matt Fargo continues to impress with his 34-21 NBA picks run.  If you have been looking for an expert handicapper who helps clients beat the NBA point spreads on a daily basis, then Fargo can be your man.  He has been winning profits and building bankrolls for years and will continue to do so all season long.  Let’s take a look at the kind of analysis that you will find each night when you sign up, taking a look at how he took the Wizards +8 over the Celtics the other night.

Washington is not getting a lot of respect here and maybe that is warranted. The Wizards were a popular preseason pick this year to have a big turnaround and be the sleeper team in the NBA Southeast. Instead, they are in last place, looking up at the Magic who have a nine-game lead. Inconsistencies have been the issue all season but the play has gotten better even though it has not resulted in a lot of wins. Washington is 4-3 over its last seven games but two of those losses have come by a total of six points including one in overtime. The Wizards 4-5 home record is not going to intimidate many teams but three of those losses have been by four points or fewer and the résumé already includes a win over Cleveland. The play has go better which has coincided with the return of Antawn Jamison. It took a couple games for the team to get its chemistry back and he is averaging 20.1 ppg despite having three straight games of 15 points or fewer. I expect a big game tonight as well as one from Gilbert Arenas who is coning off a horrible game against the Pistons where he scored just eight points after early game foul trouble. Boston is rolling along with eight straight wins and it is a very solid 9-1 on the road this year. The road schedule has been very unimpressive however. The Celtics won opening night in Cleveland but the next four road wins came against teams that are currently a combined 23-84. That has been the story this season as Boston has played a schedule ranked 27th in the NBA which compares to a schedule ranked 12th for the Wizards. This takes nothing away from Boston as winning is tough in this league so what it is accomplishing is certainly solid. I just do not like them in this spot at all. Boston swept the season series a year ago but Washington was not close to full strength. The year before, the Wizards swept Boston and that was when they were at full strength. They are a team that gives the Celtics matchup problems and the fact that Washington has had three full days off before this game gives it a greater edge in preparation and rest. The Wizards are 1-10 ATS this season when playing with no rest or just one day off and a much more respectable 4-4 ATS with two or more days including 2-1 ATS with three days or more. Washington falls into a great contrarian spot as you play on underdogs that have not covered the spread in 12 or more of their last 15 games going up against an opponent that has covered three of its last four games. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1996.

If you liked this article, you may also be interested in:

Filed Under Fargo, Predictions