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Fargo’s Celtics at Wizards Picks

Thu, 10 Dec 2009 00:38:17 +0000

Matt Fargo continues to impress with his 34-21 NBA picks run. If you have been looking for an expert handicapper who helps clients beat the NBA point spreads on a daily basis, then Fargo can be your man. He has been winning profits and building bankrolls for years and will continue to do so all season long. Let’s take a look at the kind of analysis that you will find each night when you sign up, taking a look at how he took the Wizards +8 over the Celtics the other night.

Washington is not getting a lot of respect here and maybe that is warranted. The Wizards were a popular preseason pick this year to have a big turnaround and be the sleeper team in the NBA Southeast. Instead, they are in last place, looking up at the Magic who have a nine-game lead. Inconsistencies have been the issue all season but the play has gotten better even though it has not resulted in a lot of wins. Washington is 4-3 over its last seven games but two of those losses have come by a total of six points including one in overtime. The Wizards 4-5 home record is not going to intimidate many teams but three of those losses have been by four points or fewer and the résumé already includes a win over Cleveland. The play has go better which has coincided with the return of Antawn Jamison. It took a couple games for the team to get its chemistry back and he is averaging 20.1 ppg despite having three straight games of 15 points or fewer. I expect a big game tonight as well as one from Gilbert Arenas who is coning off a horrible game against the Pistons where he scored just eight points after early game foul trouble. Boston is rolling along with eight straight wins and it is a very solid 9-1 on the road this year. The road schedule has been very unimpressive however. The Celtics won opening night in Cleveland but the next four road wins came against teams that are currently a combined 23-84. That has been the story this season as Boston has played a schedule ranked 27th in the NBA which compares to a schedule ranked 12th for the Wizards. This takes nothing away from Boston as winning is tough in this league so what it is accomplishing is certainly solid. I just do not like them in this spot at all. Boston swept the season series a year ago but Washington was not close to full strength. The year before, the Wizards swept Boston and that was when they were at full strength. They are a team that gives the Celtics matchup problems and the fact that Washington has had three full days off before this game gives it a greater edge in preparation and rest. The Wizards are 1-10 ATS this season when playing with no rest or just one day off and a much more respectable 4-4 ATS with two or more days including 2-1 ATS with three days or more. Washington falls into a great contrarian spot as you play on underdogs that have not covered the spread in 12 or more of their last 15 games going up against an opponent that has covered three of its last four games. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1996.

Fargo’s Hornets at Wolves Pick

Wed, 09 Dec 2009 10:55:00 +0000

Nobody does a better job of making a client feel like they are on the right side of the NBA point spreads than our man Matt Fargo. He writes detailed writeups that are chalked full of matchup analysis, systems, and news about the teams. If you want winning NBA picks delivered to your email every night, then consider signing up with this expert handicapper. Let’s take a look at who he was on last night, taking the Wolves over the Hornets:

The last time I ventured out on Minnesota was on Saturday and that resulted in an outright victory over Utah and this team is definitely turning a corner. After defeating Denver as 14.5-point underdogs on the road at the end of November, they have put together a five-game cover streak and this is significant since Minnesota went on a 1-10 ATS run prior to that. That included a 0-6 ATS mark at home but a loss to Memphis by a bucket on Wednesday ended that string as well and it has now covered two in a row at the Target Center. Timberwolves forward Kevin Love made his season debut against the Hornets seven weeks after he broke his left hand in a preseason game. He delivered an 11-point, 11-rebound double-double while playing half the game off the bench. His return is big as it adds more depth to the frontcourt and actually makes it a strength now. In three games he is averaging 15.7 ppg and 9.3 rpg. Last night Minnesota was stung with a bad shooting night as it shot 36 percent including 30 percent (3-15) from long range. Those nights are going to happen. New Orleans has no business laying wood on the road. The Hornets are 1-9 away from home this season and the lone victory came in Los Angeles against the Clippers and not the Lakers. In 20 games, the home team is 17-3 in New Orleans games this season so it is obviously that the host has had an edge all season. The linesmakers have no choice here but to make the Hornets a favorite and despite being 9-11, they are somehow still a very publicly backed team and that is certainly the case again tonight as the betting action is all over New Orleans early in the cycle. As a favorite of three points or more, the Hornets are 1-5 ATS on the season and this includes a cover loss just last week at home against Minnesota. The Hornets were favored by 9.5 points in that game and based on the venue switch and simple math, they should be favored by a point and a half at the most. The last meeting in Minnesota came last January and the Timberwolves were favored by a point in that game. Since then, Minnesota has remained pretty level while the Hornets have digressed considerably. The Hornets are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a losing home record and this season they are 0-3 ATS against teams that have a winning percentage below .250. The Timberwolves are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against a team with a losing record.

Fargo’s Cavs at Grizzlies NBA Picks

Wed, 09 Dec 2009 00:41:26 +0000

Matt Fargo loves to take the home underdogs with his NBA picks, and that strategy paid off yet again when Fargo went with the Memphis Grizzlies over the Cleveland Cavaliers the other night. Now on a 34-21 with his selections, his clients continue to cash in and build their bankrolls by following this man’s predictions each night. If you need a little help in beating the NBA point spreads, then take a look at signing up for a long-term subscription from one of the best NBA handicappers around! Take a look at why he took Memphis over Cleveland with his in-depth report:

Fargo’s Jazz at Wizards NBA Picks

Sat, 05 Dec 2009 01:22:41 +0000

Another night and another easy winner for Matt Fargo and his followers as he cashes another one of his NBA predictions, this time on the game between the Utah Jazz and the Washington Wizards. If you have been struggling to beat the NBA point spreads on a nightly basis, then get some help from one of the best experts in the business. Let’s take a look at the kind of in-depth research you can expect to accompany all of your selections.

This is a real tough spot for Utah. The Jazz played last night and had a relatively easy win against Indiana thanks to a big first quarter. That was the sixth straight home game for Utah who has not played a game on the road since November 19th at San Antonio. That is a span of 15 straight days of staying at home and that is huge in the NBA so it is no wonder the Jazz went 5-1 in those games. Making matters even worse is the fact that Utah has San Antonio on deck at home on Monday so coming off that huge homestand and looking ahead to another big game means that Utah wants no part of playing lowly Minnesota. With New Jersey’s win last night, Minnesota is creeping closer to that worst record in the NBA but the Timberwolves have been much more competitive of late. After defeating Denver as 14.5-point underdogs on the road, they have put together a three-game cover streak and this is significant since Minnesota went on a 1-10 ATS run prior to that. That included a 0-6 ATS mark at home but a loss to Memphis by a bucket on Wednesday ended that string as well. Timberwolves forward Kevin Love made his season debut seven weeks after he broke his left hand in a preseason game. He delivered an 11-point, 11-rebound double-double while playing half the game off the bench. His return is big as it adds more depth to the frontcourt and actually makes it a strength now. While Utah won three of the four meetings last season, Minnesota covered three of the four meetings and not a whole lot has changed since last season with each team. Utah is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games in the second of back-to-back games while Minnesota is 5-2-1 ATS in its last eight games in the same situation. Also Utah is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games as a road favorite between 5.0 and 10.5 points.

Fargo’s Raptors at Wizards Picks

Fri, 04 Dec 2009 16:11:26 +0000

One of the best NBA handicappers in the business if you are looking for top plays is Matt Fargo. Right now, he is 105-74 with is last 179 NBA picks when you look at his Best Bets, as he proves once again that when it comes to beating the NBA point spreads, there really isn’t too many in the business that can compete with his long-term success. If you have been struggling to win with your NBA betting, then consider signing up for one of his packages he has for sale. If you are looking for a great place to get your action in, then take a look at the $100 match bonus offered to our readers by Bodog. Let’s take a look at his easy winner last night:

Toronto is playing horrible right now as it is mired in a dreadful five-game losing streak but this is the time to buy as when a team is down, we get them at a good price as well as getting a likely solid effort. These two teams just played in Toronto two games back and Washington walked out with a four-point win as seven-point underdogs. Based on that line, just three nights ago, coming home for the rematch should make Washington a one-point favorite based on the line switch due to the venue change. Obviously, the linesmakers are not thinking that way and have upped the number giving us additional value here. During this losing streak, Toronto is playing the worst it has all season as it has been outshot by 8.7 percent from the floor while getting outscored by 20.4 ppg. Making matter worse, the Raptor are on a six-game losing skid away from home with the last five coming by an average of 22 ppg. Washington is playing better as it has won four of its last five games. It snuck one out on Wednesday, much to my dismay as it was unable to cover the spread by a point, to even its record at 4-4 at home. There are still problems on this team which we saw again the other night and it all comes down to team chemistry as there is still some issues going on with players not getting a lot of time together yet. Washington has been horrible in the role of favorite as it is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games when laying points and it is 0-4 ATS in its last four home games against teams with a losing road record. The road team has won the last five meetings in this series and covering all of those as well and it is revenge time for the Raptors who also fall into a solid situation. Play on road teams that are averaging 103 or more ppg on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) over the last five seasons. The public will no doubt be fading the Raptors especially coming off the 31-point loss against the Hawks but this is the time to ride.

Fargo’s Wizards at Raptors Picks

Wed, 02 Dec 2009 14:48:52 +0000

Matt Fargo is an incredible 105-74 with his Best Bets in the NBA! He just continues to help clients pile up the profits with his NBA picks and will continue to do so for the rest of the season. If you have been struggling to beat the NBA point spreads, then it’s time to sign up for a long-term subscription with one of the best in the country. Just take a look at this easy winner he posted on Washington last night:

Both Washington and Toronto come into this game following rough endings in the month of November. They are only separated by a half-game in the Eastern Conference and Toronto is getting a lot of credit on this spot for some reason. The Raptors have dropped three straight games and are 2-7 over their last nine games. To their credit, the schedule has been tough but the majority of these losses have not even been close. Five of those seven defeats were by 13 points or more including the last three. The defense has been atrocious as Toronto is allowing 109.3 ppg on 47.9 percent shooting, 30th and 26th respectively in the NBA. Washington has won two straight games prior to its last game against Charlotte that was a complete disaster. The Wizards tied a season low with 76 points as they shot just 39 percent from the floor including 25 percent from long range. Gilbert Arenas and Antawn Jamison shot a combined 5-20 and scored only 12 points so we can expect big bounce backs from both tonight. The schedule has been difficult for Washington as well as it is ranked 10th in the league and 10 of the first 15 games have come against teams ranked in the top 16 and tonight’s opponent is not part of that group. Implementing a new system hasn’t slowed the Wizards as much as the injuries have as Jamison started the season by missing the first nine games while Mike Miller has missed the last three. The road team won all three meetings last season and the series has been a tight one as seven of the last eight meetings have been decided by six points or fewer. Washington falls into a great situation based on its last poor effort. Play on teams that are coming off a loss by 15 points or more as a favorite and now playing with two days rest. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) over the last five seasons. Toronto meanwhile is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games and that will help the Washington offense to bounce back. 9* Washington Wizards

Fargo’s Grizzlies at Blazers Picks

Fri, 27 Nov 2009 01:26:51 +0000

If you like betting on basketball then you are going to love getting help in actually beating the NBA point spreads. Matt Fargo is one of the best experts in the handicapping business and he is ready to help clients cash in yet again with his NBA picks. Take a look at a long-term subscription from this qualified expert and this is the kind of analysis that you will be able to expect on a daily basis.

I feel this is a very good spot for Memphis despite the differential of the home and road records for these two teams. The Grizzlies are coming off a loss in their last game at Phoenix which dropped them to 1-7 away from home on the season. Prior to the Phoenix loss they had won four of their previous five games including a victory at Philadelphia in the only road game during that stretch so they have definitely been playing better of late after a very slow start to the season. They have dropped eight straight in this series including a home loss against the Blazers just over two weeks ago by 14 points. Portland is 7-2 at home this season including three straight wins during this homestand, all coming by double-digits. A fourth is what everyone is thinking here but this is not a good spot for the Blazers as they travel to play Utah tomorrow night so this is a definite lookahead spot. This is obviously a very contrarian play and it is backed up by a very contrarian situation. Play on underdogs that are allowing 48 percent shooting or worse on the season going up against an opponent that has gone two straight games of shooting 50 percent or better. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1996 with the average point differential being just -4.4 ppg.

Fargo’s Mavs at Rockets NBA Picks

Wed, 25 Nov 2009 01:41:34 +0000

If you want winning NBA picks on a nightly basis, then let Matt Fargo give you some assistance. This top handicapper has been beating the NBA point spreads for years and can help you become yet another client who has padded their bankroll with some extra cash. Let’s take a look at this winner last night as Dallas took care of business against the Houston Rockets:

Houston has not won back-to-back games since Halloween and the day after Halloween. The Rockets are coming off a home win against Sacramento and it was rather unimpressive which can be said about the entire season thus far. Houston is 8-6 on the season including 4-2 at home but it has struggled for the most part against the top teams as it is 5-1 against teams outside the top ten but just 3-5 against teams within the top ten. Dallas is obviously part of that group and it comes in at 10-4 and angry after a home loss against Golden St. last night that saw the Warriors play only six players the entire game. The Mavericks are 5-2 on the road this season and have not lost consecutive games this year. They are 2-0 on the season against the NBA’s top ten and 6-1 against the top 16 and Houston is part of both of those groups. Dallas is a perfect 5-0 ATS this season against teams with a winning record and it is 3-0 ATS coming off a loss, winning all games outright and by an average of 18 ppg. Also, the Mavericks are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings in this series while Houston is 6-16 ATS revenging a loss where the opponent scored 100 or more points.

Fargo’s Knicks at Kings Picks

Wed, 25 Nov 2009 01:38:23 +0000

There are few NBA handicappers that have had the kind of success that Matt Fargo has enjoyed this young season. Now 34-21 on his last 55 NBA picks, his clients are piling up the profits and building their bankrolls to start out the season. If you want a little help in beating the NBA point spreads this winter, then this is one handicapper that you really should take a look at each night. Let’s take a look at why he liked the Kings last night:

This is a very tough scheduling situation for the Knicks. They are coming off a loss last night against the Lakers making this their second game in two nights and it actually gets worse. New York is also playing its fourth game in five nights and it has been nothing but travel over this stretch. The Knicks played in New Jersey, went to Boston, travelled to Los Angeles and now are in Sacramento. The two back-to-back spots have not been long travel situations but it is travel nonetheless. They lost by 10 points last night to Los Angeles but it was much worse than that as they were down by as much as 25 points but used a strong fourth quarter to make it look more respectable and that gives us some line value tonight. The Kings have been playing pretty decent this season especially at home. They are back from a three-game roadtrip where they lost all three games and they are currently on a four-game skid. The home team is 10-3 in Sacramento games this season and the Kings covered their lone game as a chalk this season, defeating Memphis at home by 11 points in overtime. Kevin Martin is still out but Tyreke Evans has picked up the slack as he has scored 20 or more points in the last seven games he has played. The Kings are 6-0 ATS in their last sis games following an ATS loss while New York is just 12-27 ATS as a road underdog of fewer than five points. Sacramento is 6-2 ATS this season when playing teams averaging 99 or more ppg while the Knicks are 0-2 ATS against teams averaging 103 pr more ppg.

Fargo’s Thunder at Jazz NBA Picks

Tue, 24 Nov 2009 01:44:23 +0000

If you are looking for winning NBA picks on a consistent basis, then maybe it’s time to consider signing up for the selections offered by Matt Fargo. He has been beating the NBA point spreads for years and can help you build up your bankroll as well. Get signed for his picks this winter and see just how fun and easy it is to win with NBA betting. Want an example of what to expect, take a look at his breakdown of the Oklahoma City and Utah game from last night.

Oklahoma City is already one of the most improved teams this season based on its play on the road. The Thunder are 4-4 this season away from home and that is already half of their road win total from all of last season. Oklahoma City did not win its fifth away game in 2008-09 until March 10th so the fact that we are still in the first month of the season is something special. Utah used to has a great home floor edge and while it is sitting at 4-2, it is nothing like it has been in past years. Losing to Houston and Sacramento is uncalled for on its home floor but going in we knew there was going to be something not right about the Jazz and that is the case as it is just 7-6 on the season. Last January, Utah was favored by 10 points at home over Oklahoma City and now we are seeing a drop in the line by only a bucket but the gap between these two teams has closed quite a bit since then. Oklahoma City is 36-17 ATS in its last 43 games following a loss while Utah is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games following a win and the Thunder have covered six of the last eight meetings in Utah.