Burns Bucks at Wizards Picks

December 3, 2009

Ben Burns has done it once again, cashing another one of his NBA picks for clients and helping them pad up their bankroll during the winter months. Nobody does a better job of consistently beating the NBA point spreads than our handicappers do and they prove themselves night after night. Take a look at why Burns liked this game last night to see just why we think he’s such a great handicapper:

I’m taking the points with MILWAUKEE. I successfully played against the Bucks in their last game. That was more a play “on” Chicago than a play “against” Milwaukee though. Also, they were laying points rather than getting them. Additionally, I’ll admit that it was somewhat of a fortunate victory. The Bucks were up by double-digits at one point but ended up winning by only two points, failing to cover as 3-point favorites. Either way, they did get the SU victory, which will be more than enough to get the cash tonight.

On Monday, the Bucks were facing a well-rested Chicago team which I felt would be “desperate,’ as they’d been blown out by several straight Western Conf. heavyweights and were hungry to close out their “circus trip” with a better effort. Tonight, however, the Bucks will face a Washington team which is coming off an upset win in Canada last night. That’s significant.

For starters, the Wizards are 0-3 SU/ATS the last three times that they were coming off a SU win as an underdog. Looking back further and we find them at an awful 7-31 SU and 13-25 ATS their last 38 in that situation.

Additionally, the Wizards are a terrible 3-17 SU the last 20 times that they played the second of back to back games, going a money-burning 3-12-1 ATS the last 16 of those games. That includes a 0-3 SU/ATS mark their last three in that situation. They scored just 89, 84 and 76 points in those games with two of those losses coming here at Washington.

While they will be without a couple players, including Redd, the Bucks, who are 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS against teams with a losing record, got Andrew Bogut back last game. That’s also significant. The big 7-Foot Aussie is averaging a career-high 16.7 points and 9.8 rebounds in 10 games this season. He shattered those numbers against the Bulls, too. In that game, he had 22 points and 15 rebounds. He also came up with an impressive four blocks, the majority of them coming at critical times down the stretch. As rookie guard Brandon Jennings pointed out: “It felt good to have Bogut out there. He’s a big help, as you can see, with the inside presence, it just opens up the game for everybody else.” Note that Bogut is averaging 17.8 points and 12.0 rebounds in his last five games against Washington.

Milwaukee swept the three-game series with the Wizards last season and has won two in a row here at Washington. Overall, the Bucks are 4-0 ATS the last four in the series. Catching the Wizards off last night’s big win, I look for them to improve on those stats this evening. *9 Best Bet

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